AGM News30 Jan 2015 12:55
Morning fellers - very good AGM yesterday, with attendance estimated as 50% of accredited shareholders, which is way above average for an AIM company. Gavin has touched on a few points raised, and I heartily agree with his optimism for BAO's future- especially with the revelation of the developing interest of Sinosteels as a senior JV partner. This for me has an especially relevant impact, as the State-owned Chinese giant has a huge appetite for pig iron to mass produce steel of multiple grades - so not just an investor but a ready made customer at hugely competitive prices for pig. Asked BJ about the local market - and for pig in such an underdeveloped country it is zilch, so all product would be exported eastwards and seabound. But STEEL? ....a different matter of course, and it does not require a huge leap of the imagination to see a Sino-funded Steel Mill alongside the pig iron plant to serve Moz and the region's anticipated growing demand for construction and industry. Long term thinking here, so I can understand the feelings of piconet and others who want to see a more immediate reaction in SP for their investment. We have good news, so for this aspect we need the MMs to tick us up half a penny, and the reaction from observers on the sidelines with investment cash could then be interesting. Have learnt one thing from AIM investment and this share in particular - that speculation is a far more powerful tool than hard facts, viz our two historic spikes based on far less evidence than we have now! Very solid presentation from BJ after the official AGM business confirming the resource and mining concession for 25 years (does this answer the question about terms of license?). Also the capex on the pig iron project being scaled down to 2/3rds of the original estimate to around £800 million with 65% investment capital required and offered by prospective JV partner. Test results on the 450 tonne sample sent to China expected next week, cash burn was reduced in 2014 and likely to be held at this level for 2015. AMED were represented at the meeting and remain enthusiastic supporters, also importantly the Moz government with political stability returning after a long pre-election slumber (aren't we in one ourselves at present?) also the IFC with finance due to be released this year as required. Some BJ time scales - DFS by mid-summer, with finance in place work on the project to begin by the end of this year and a 24/27 month construction period to completion.
If there was a disappointment I would say that the company brokers when questioned for a recommendation remained stumm and played the Rules and Regulations Card when a little encouragement would have done no harm for our market position.
Overall, if not a game-changer it was certainly an important stake in the ground for BAO investors - especially the younger variety. Hold on if you can pic, there will be a string of news items in positive mode to keep our pot boiling in the coming weeks