Nightowl View / techpunk6 Jan 2011 02:00
I won't comment any further on staff exits as I don't want to rub salt in any wounds. If they got a pay off then great as most would have deserved it due to their previous contributions. Those that are left are working in uncertain times. In terms of your comments on china and high bets, I'd go for them and I wouldn't think of them as being high bets. China is one of the fastest growing economies in the world and a lot of western companies are putting money there. China has also proven that despite its communist regime it has never thrown out western companies - it takes the investment. There are obviously cultural differences that companies need to be aware of and if disrespected I doubt China would hesitate to act (e.g. Google), however to date if investment is forthcoming and companies operate within the rules both win. With an economy that is boasting %age figures unheard of in the west over the last decade the Chinese economy, (with record average growth rates of 10% over the last 3 decades), is needed to bring the global community out of recession.
Regarding your 2011 prediction of 50% by year end - I won't disagree. I would think we'd see that within 3-6 months. I say 6 months as the next company report (end of year) is predicted to now be a profit warning due to the costs incurred of the cost cutting exercise plus some other extras (please refer to the last quarterly report for more detail). My humble view is that this share price is fundamentally undervalued and there will be a very good recovery when the first quarter of 2011 shows it as being in the black as opposed to the end of year red. Having no insider knowledge (plus I don't know whether they do quarterlies) to be safe 6 months is a good bet to see this heading above 80 pence per share.
These are my own personal views so good luck to all.