RE: Hmmm!!4 Dec 2024 17:15
The market's written them off but it's far too early for that. They've got 20 months before any of the debt is due, £80m cash and a £200m revolving credit facility to draw if needed.
The market sold off when the recent Turkish sale was announced but it's actually enabled them to reduce some of the debt whilst maintining supply if desired which can be purchased at cost from the buyer. They've said they'll consider similar transactions if and when the opportunities arise.
It's highly likely this year was an anomaly, recent data shows the macro backdrop is improving, tailwinds returning and the company is actively making operational efficiencies and deleveraging. I'm confident that in the next 18 months they'll be able to refinance on fair terms. Then you can consider the fact the market cap is now just £43m on well over £1b of revenues, it's a rare opportunity.