RE: Cash shortfall29 Jul 2016 10:56
well you missed out on a very good and informed post...this was addressed to Tragic.....it is very relevant to our discussion; have a read and see the commercial points being made by Helpful...
"I am quite convinced there is no point in explaining anything to you but nonetheless here goes:
NCT is not the sole investor in Shoats Creek: it has two partners RRR and GCW.
RRR and GCW are investors in some of the wells but not all. Currently NCT, RRR and GCW cannot sell gas; NCT now has an agreement but they need the piping in place and the tap in hooked up.
The estimated cost of the work is less than $450k. Why would NCT stump up the whole of the $450k and allow RRR and GCW free use of the system to sell their gas? NCT have said that LM14 is going to be hooked up and RRR have confirmed that currently LM20 is not going to be hooked up. If NCT funds the whole of the $450k it will just hook up LM14, RC#1 and RC#2 and the other workovers that it owns. Because the oil price has softened, the stabilised production at LM20 is lower and the gas price has gone up, selling the gas has become more important.
What happens next is down to commercial negotiation:
Q1 how soon do RRR and GCW want LM19, LM20, LM21 and LM22 hooked up and what is it worth to them? Answer is, a lot
Q2 if they are going to fund either all or part of the $450k do they want exposure to the oil and gas from the workovers? What is it worth to them? Answer based on LM14 is, a lot.
NCT has just proved that LM14 is worth a lot to it and that it makes sense just to hook up its workovers.
The ball is now in RRR's and GCW's half of the court. RRR has said it will update the market shortly. Today's RNS by NCT was NCT playing hard ball and making it quite clear it was worth going ahead purely for LM14 to which RRR and GCW have no exposure. You should be worried about RRR not NCT. Randy was too nice. IMHO DYOR