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Just rebought in
Am very bullish at the moment . averaged at 19 but may take that down . Momentum clearly coming back and Brent in great form . If we could get trend up ( the downward 200ma is starting to flatten but this needs to get above the 15s and above to invert it . Touch wood it does soon .
I was hit at my stop loss level at 56.14 ( entry point was 35p) . So closed a large part of my position here.
I do like the stock and will continue to follow and see if this reversal will allow me a new entry. Maybe yes maybe not But don't want to alienate anyone Long so I hope it keeps rising and you all bag loads of money.
I only hold a small residual amount now .
The BBC will be using the Aramco profits headlines to make the public believe the oil industry is making billions , yet tax Harbour , Enquest , Serica etc lol " The Saudi's are profiting lets tax our own small firms " GENIUS Special kind of person works for the BBC must say , at least its slowly dying , can't remember the last time I watched something on it other the the bbc/sport page on the internet .
Rates on the 5 year now below 4% for the past 4 days . Will be keen to see this consolidate to see decreasing mortgage rates . That and the capital gains tax decrease is good news for London real estate .
Good morning Kign,
Your posts re the mis information put out on purpose to confuse the public is the exact problem we have. Why can't we have an authority which punishes the BBC for such distortions as frankly speaking the Shell/BP profits headlines is so misleading its gross. The public is fooled at their detriment as we'll end up with no oil and gas industry in the UK and whether most of our production is exported or consumed on our shores we won't have the overall control or say on environmental standards and just as important the profits and jobs and we'll lose the political advantage . 3 losses .Will the BBC etc suffer a penalty for peddling wrong policies ? Will someone go to jail ? Nah . Basically one can mislead at will if it has enough activists supporting a cause. Truth does not matter here. Not to say that the world does not have enough copper for the transition to take place at the wanted speed.
Not sure what Hunt is thinking when he extends the EPL as won't win my vote for that and won't win Labour voters vote to switch to Tory or others. Like a lose lose, hurt your voters and get no votes from the rest / What a $£$£$£% .
Least of all HBR has already signalled very loudly its intention of divesting out with the new deal this year away from the tax grab . Not sure that any UK oil and gas employee will be voting Tory at this stage . Sometimes they do their very best to lose these politicians to appease nobody .
As to HBR i like the momentum and remain cautiously bullish for now ( stuck over 300p average ) but not too far to breakeven now
They tried.... which in a way is good for those buying the dip in the trend .
After Friday's big fall in the 2s and 5 year rates this is the time that real estate gets a boost . Come April I think we get the energy cap dropping by 15% which should lower inflation by quite a bit too. I reckon that somehow and miracously the government will get lucky as inflations drops and things improve fast
I have a similar average was 330 for ages and lowered it further by a bit but still above 300.
The divis are typically re-invested back into shares automatically . I don't understand though why the deal is seen as ZERO chance . The only odds that are so against are typically seen in chances of winning the euromillions , Here instead we have 2 parties that are working towards a common goal and HBR will see its average cost fall as its credit rating rise . Win win ! Yet its zero odds at the moment
Just a few days ago I was seeing signs of some positive momentum coming back , not enough to have me trigger a buy but was looking more optimistically at the chances.
Today this drop seems like a typical low volume volatility driven by fretting retail traders. Most days do in fact
I read some posts about our shorts up at 1.75% like this was something crazy , yet historically this was higher by quite a bit. I read that the deal is not going ahead ? says who a bb poster ? I read all sorts and even if all true ALL of the BASF asset bounce is gone now ALL back to the day before we bounced !
Now think about it as this means that there is ZERO priced in for the deal to come through as back to the day before the bounce . ZERO ! Does that make sense ? Genuine question , the consensus is saying NO Deal . Based on what ? not even 1% chance ? Why ? Or is this the classic illogical bb mindset
I read about oil prices and yet HBR vs Brent as a ratio is down , Brent is outperforming HBR as HBR falls no matter what since early Jan and you know what is funny ? the day before the RNS came out Brent was trading at about 2 dollars lower than today ... go figure
All very inconsistent .
Am only offering my opinion not attacking anyone in particular , as am a long term holder it gets frustrating to see such inconsistencies
Hey Stumpy,
I agree and momentum looking good too . certainly on the good side of momentum now and not at all stretched . Just started to warm up and I like these set ups
Point of control if we use a market profile terminology is your point of interest ;-)
Hopefully one that establishes a presence out of the EPL tax theft based on lies > A bit like HBR has done
I like the dividend potential here , the yield based on a small figure pay out could be huge and worth have these sheltered in ISAs , not much would compete out there with possible double digit or high single digit dividend yields and growth Which is the future of this kind of play in my view . Energy mix might have seen new entrants but energy demand is constantly increasing ie we need to sources but doesn't mean less oil or gas .
60 was hit right at the close
HAPPY DAYS !
Yup Stumpy CPI .
On a different note we should be at the start of strong Oil seasonality (my model uses 25 years worth of data) from more or less now till June , should we get some momemtum in the share I will average down as it should be all coinciding . Oil seems to be doing well just need HBR now to start moving up . That RSI trendline may get broken once it does I feel we'll have the momentum we need to go higher
Can't ask for more , as I said 1 sometimes 2p a week ! Brilliant till we reach 120-150p
NAV_MIke was going to post the same . Oil holding up strong , market reaction to lowering inflation but not as much as forecast is a bit OTT in my view , forecast was 0.2% vs 0.3% with yoy down to 3.1% Today's down markets are a little too dramatic , yet Brent holding up well so . Its equities that are generally down not really a HBR thing in my view