RE: Other brokers18 May 2023 22:56
Redmoor: I’m not an HL or iWeb investor so all I’ve got to go on are third hand accounts that these brokers are not advising to 1. sell up, 2. transfer to a AIX broker, or 3. move to certs (as ii has advised me). Rather, these third hand accounts seem to be suggesting that iWeb and HL are advising investors that they can 4. now keep their holding in situ (in their current account) and it won’t be liquidated. Again, I’d really want this confirmed in writing, as ii has made it very clear that my holding will be liquidated after July 10th if they had not be transferred out or made into certificates by the end of June.
Following that disclaimer: the sense is that these brokers (HL/iWeb) are effectively suggesting to freeze the assets in their current accounts ISA/SIPP etc. as they have done with Evraz holdings that weren’t converted into certs:
- The first concern (or question to be asked) is what happens to the dividends. I need roughly two years of dividends at the previous rate to pay off my entire investment - to give me a free ride on Poly - and I’d want to be pretty damn sure I was getting those dividends. Freezing my assets not only sound like I can’t buy or sell - which HL have made very clear - but that I may not receive the dividends either.
- Secondly, if all goes to plan then, following the summer, Poly will push to split the assets into Poly R (toxic from a Western standpoint) and Poly K (the good face of the company that can be reintroduced into FTSE or another exchange). It is not clear - to me at least - how this will work, but we assume we will have the choice to either get shares in both companies or, in some form, cash in on our Poly R entitlement and stick with Poly K. It is questionable at this stage if we would be able to draw dividends in Poly R with the current sanctions, but some of us may want to hold onto Poly R for giggles and see what the shares are worth when the dust settles. That would be my chosen approach.
I have a pretty clear idea how this might look if I go the paper certs + Tabys route. I will choose to keep both - if I am legally allowed to - and I will have shares in Poly R (presumably on MOEX with AIX cross-listed) and Poly K (AIX initially, but probably reintroduced to FTSE in due course). Hopefully if and when Poly K realists with FTSE, I will have the option to transfer my Poly K shares back into Crest Certs and re-add them to my ii account. On Tabys I would have my Poly R shares and, when the world becomes a saner place, I will be able to draw dividends on both.
Tell me how you imagine this playing out if your assets are frozen in your HL account? I have no idea, but the one thing I’m pretty sure about is that they will balk at holding your Poly R entitlement. To me, the HL/iWeb approach seems to be following the Evraz playbook, when it’s a completely different situation. I’m not sure it’s very well thought out, and I would feel that I don’t have flexibility to leve