RE: IQ just posted21 Dec 2021 09:32
Regarding the gas production downside hedge for 36m at 43p per therm:
While it is possible that the hedge is contractually tied to potential early repayment of the load for poundland development, this type of optionality in the hedge would have a large impact on the cost of the hedge, for example, if the market forward price to hedge this risk is say 50p, by adding the loan related optionality of early repayment, the actual protection kicks in not at 50, but say 43p. for this cost reason it is very unlikely that decisions to repay the loan early if this proved possible would have any impact on the hedge.
In summary: declining size of the hedge in line with declining outstaning loan balance as it is repaid = easy and cheap
Optional early loan repayment reducing the hedged amount: expensive form of insurance. Unlikely ANGS paid up for this, and likely that they would tell us if they did.