oil price: bullish assessment of prospects6 Feb 2022 17:43
Oil prices, already up around 20% this year, could be boosted by China potentially replenishing its inventories and financial investors increasing their long positions, according to Vitol Group.
The world’s biggest independent oil trader said there’s a chance China looks to build up stockpiles following the Lunar New Year holiday.
“I think it’s fair to state that China is at bare-minimum” in terms of the volumes of oil state-owned enterprises need to hold, Mike Muller, Vitol’s head of Asia, said Sunday on a podcast hosted by Dubai-based consultant Gulf Intelligence. “All eyes are on what happens in China after the Chinese New Year. There’s a feeling that some restocking will be required.”
Crude posted a seventh-straight gain last week, with Brent climbing above $93 a barrel. Many traders believe it’s a matter of time before prices reach triple digits ...
For China, the world’s biggest oil importer, prices aren’t yet high enough to dent consumption, according to Muller.
“It doesn’t look like they’ve had their foot off the pedal,” he said. “Up until the very last day before Chinese New Year, the state owned enterprises seemed interested in buying crude at these prices.” ...
“The market is still relatively risk-off,” Muller said. Positioning is “nowhere near where you’d expect it given some people consider oil to be a good inflation hedge. The fundamental picture on oil is a very resounding thumbs up. Demand is making the headlines and supply is the problem.” ...
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-02-06/china-may-need-to-rebuild-its-oil-stockpiles-says-vitol?sref=Em01M8Hr