RE: 202325 Jun 2022 15:34
Based on the small bit of our Sonora JV in the mining plan, when it is mined, and on the EV valuation inferred by the offer Ganfeng made for Sonora, I get fair value of around $15m to us. Clearly Lithium prices have increased since the offer and Ganfeng have strongly hinted at increasing mining rates, so it would be remiss of us to accept this for the bit in the mining plan, AND throw in the remainder of the JV areas without a significant sweetener/hedge against them going on to develop it, such as a royalty over these areas or the whole project. Anyway, the market current appears to be valuing Sonora at near 0 when $15m is likely the absolute minimum of its worth to us IMHO. Though I suppose there is still location risk...