RE: Pbow was sprouting 30p takeover prediction only weeks ago haha.17 Jun 2025 13:06
@Stas20 - Pbow posts more reliable and credible research and analysis than a cumulative 95% of posters on this site.
Even if some of his views are occasionally different to my own, they are always clearly justified.
InvestorPanda however is an absolute fruitcake. Genuine mental health concerns around that individual.
I'm sure Pbow is after a fair price. But that fair price won't be full NPV for a project at pre-FS stage, in Ecuador with the politicial/environmental challenges and substantial risk premium required.
And it terms of spot prices as long-term assumptions in a FS, of course they won't be at that level. Nor do they need to be, to show what a fantastic asset Cascabel is. (Don't forget, we've had higher NPVs in the past. More important, given SOLG isn't a major with loads of operating surplus, the Capex can be managed and de-risking events continue as planned over next 12 months).
@Pbow - don't get frustrated and pull your account. Your research is appreciated. After all, how many others flagged the Ecuador concession tax.
(Typically bad timing from a SOLG perspective, noting it has been deferred).
Unfortunately other posters have no interest in the real-life situation in Ecuador - more exciting to talk about what the takeover premium will be etc.