RE: Valibets Update13 Apr 2026 12:27
"Last time out, third favourite, SPV from the Animal Health stable romped home at 7/5"
And therein may lie the explanation of why so many Valirx investors are financial losers. 7/5 is an implied probability of 41.67%. As 7/5 is the third favourite, there would have been 2 choices at lower odds... say, evens and 6/5. Evens is 50%, and 6/5 is 45.45%. Now we are at implied odds of 137.12%.
That's like the dog-food betting products such as greyhound racing that bookies feed to mug punters. And mug punters repeatedly lose and think that next time the result will be better.
Will you be averaging down if / when the discounted placing comes along? There should be lots of cheap shares being flipped...