'the fundamentals of the company have not changed'20 Apr 2020 10:58
The statement is correct - however, shareholders opinion of the fundamentals certainly have changed as time has gone by. The share price had collapsed even before the price of oil did, the collapse in the price of oil just made the situation even worse.
Many statements are made along the lines of 'we know' when they should be stated as 'I think'. If people actually knew all the fantastic facts that will send the share price into orbit again then they would be keeping their mouths shut and buying as many shares as they could to take advantage of their knowledge - but the share price languishes at a near all-time low.
A little dose of reality never hurts the long suffering...
I have been listening to Stephen Nolan questioning Gov ministers / apologists for quite some time. Nobody has brought up Bluedot yet despite our Gov subscribing to their services. They raised the problem in December last year...
Engineered proteins, cytokine storms and cancer immunotherapy19 Apr 2020 13:21
An interesting article titled 'Engineered proteins calm "cytokine storms" caused by severe infections' - apparently there are immunotherapy implications:
RE: I must be a bad luck to this share18 Apr 2020 18:06
Skwizz,
The aftermath of the virus is a severe yearly flu that will reduce life expectancy, which will reduce demand for fuel indefinitely. We are entering another 'slump' - the US encountered the Great Depression as it had had a period of sustained growth before the economic crash in the thirties that the UK had not.
Demand will not recover and austerity will not end as there will be insufficient workers to pay off the debt currently being incurred. Over production of oil cannot continue for much longer as most storage facilities are close to full - where will they store the excess production? As you say, some currencies will be valued less and the value of the $ will crash; which is why oil will end up over $100 a barrel.
The dystopian future is unlikely to reward oil investors who buy and hold - only traders who feed on volatility will profit.
'The bad news is that the magnitude of this outbreak rivals that of the devastating swarms that hit the continent 75 years ago. Beginning in 1948, locusts multiplied out of control in Africa, and didn’t stop until 1963.' This is getting out of hands and will impact grain prices for years. Trading grain futures is considered immoral by some but can be very profitable.
If Cheeky Chappie gets put out to stud he is more likely to be 'shagging' mares than horses (maybe a filly if he is lucky, but not many are sent to be covered so young).
Some of the rises that are happening do not make sense - give it a few weeks and reality will come back to the market.
I would rather miss out on a rise than get burnt on a fool's false rally. Every share on my watchlist is 'blue' but all still are overpriced according to my models. And, if I had not trusted my models, how could I have retired in my forties?
I am not sure how many are aware of the Doomsday Clock and the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists... Their recent article about COVID-19 is worth reading even though it is alarming:
C7 had posted the comment below about an article written by Prof Helen Ward in the Opinions section of the Guardian.
'Shock Horror Reporting, lol..................... THE GUARDIAN comrades'
The point of my post was that he could use the script so that he would not be exposed to such 'objectional' journalism - that way he would not have to complain about articles written by one of the UK's leading lights in epidemiology.
I would rather people self-censor than complain about what they have read.