Fundamentals15 Apr 2019 19:00
During these retraces you just have to remember the great fundamentals and also why you invested in the first place. Nothing has changed, in fact its most probably got better and better!
BMN has positioned itself into an incredibly strong position and the company’s fundamentals will always win in the end.
Just to keep things simple....
Vanadium demand significantly exceeds vanadium supply and this will continue for a minimum of 2/3 years. Roskill recently said it will be 3 to 5 years before any significant new vanadium supply will come into production.
This shortage, together with other current events. (Chinese rebar etc), will generate a vanadium supply deficit of at least 20% per annum.
If VRFB demand takes off as expected, the vanadium deficit will be much greater than this.
Therefore, although vanadium prices have recently fallen back from multi year highs, they are likely to keep rising over the coming months and years.
Excellent news for Vametco profitability!
Vametco production costs are very low.
Vametco is debt free and even made a profit during the low point in the vanadium cycle.
Vametco production is growing - maximum production capacity is now up to 3,750 tonnes pa and our next target is 5,000 tonnes pa.
A brownfield acquisition, possibly Vanchem, will increase this production significantly. Medium term target is 10,000 tonnes pa.
We have one of the largest, high grade, low cost vanadium resources in the world.
Everything else is an additional bonus - Mokopane vanadium, Brits vanadium, electrolyte production, Imaloto coal, iron ore, titanium, phosphate, Afritin Ltd and of course Bushveld Energy and VRFBs!
We have the demonstration VRFB with Eskom, which as we all know has incredible potential. Our connections with the IDC should give us an excellent chance of being part of Eskom’s renewable energy plans going forward.
Don’t forget that the Mokopane mining licence is imminent! Offtakes and development news must be very close when you look at the potential Mokopane profitability.
Not forgetting the dividend policy and the JSE listing!
Even the SA political situation has improved significantly under Ramaphosa.
It is definitely a time when we should be feeling relaxed. Try and ignore the doomsayers.
This is just the beginning of the Bushy story! :)
DYOR