Upward Trend27 Nov 2014 20:52
Technical Analysis is very useful tool to find your Upward Trend Shares, however though while the definition of TA mentions 'prediction', that's not what I use it mainly for you. It can be used by many as a prediction tool but for myself, I use TA to analyse the state of the system as it is and weigh up the pros and cons of what may happen (positive and negative) and then assess a plan of action based on that, rather than based on 'the sp will be x pence in 7 days time' - which is prediction, which isn't what I do. This is why lots of PIs get all upset, they use it for prediction and get dismayed when prediction doesn't come true. TA is to be used to assess the current status and then make an educated guess based on that.
A pure TA thread has been done before, but most have failed as it got over complicated and most glance at the charts and feel baffled with the names of the indicators, let alone what they mean. If a company has good TA and good Fundamentals, then bring here for the rest of us to see. Most PIs on LSE live for Fundamentals shares and they may not understand the TA and but if they can sink their teeth into the Fundamentals, then they will be able to ask questions here about the TA of their shares but its worth remembering by all means that if Fundamentals are rubbish but Technical Analysis are good, then we should point out and the say Fundamentals aren't great. Stuff with good TA still goes up.
DEFINITION of 'Technical Analysis'
A method of evaluating securities by analysing statistics generated by market activity, such as past prices and volume. Technical analysts do not attempt to measure a security's intrinsic value, but instead use charts and other tools to identify patterns that can suggest future activity.
http://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/technicalanalysis.asp
Ichimoku
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo is a technical trend trading charting system that has been used by Japanese commodity and stock market traders for decades and is gaining increasing popularity amongst western stock market traders, being commonly referred to as Ichimoku Cloud charts.
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo, which translates to "equilibrium at a glance chart", was developed to allow a trader to quickly and easily appraise the trend, momentum, and support and resistance levels of an asset, from a single chart.
The system does include signals but these should never be considered in isolation. It is a visual technical analysis system and the charts are designed to be considered in their entirety to gain a perspective on the overall direction of the share or index and distinguish higher probability opportunities from lower probability ones.
Abbreviations
Coppock Curve - crossing over the +ve line is called CCX.
Volume Oscillator - crossing over the +ve line is called VOX.
Kumo Break Out - the share price breaking out of a blue cloud normally.
The Tenkan line crossing over the Kijun line over is called a TKX.
All the above are indicators that I use on a regular basis, there are many more but they all help me understand the trend stages and give me a chance to chose an entry point.