Daily Telegraph says Buy!9 Oct 2014 08:16
Cairn strikes oil off Senegal:
Shares in oil explorer Cairn Energy jumped by almost 3% after it struck oil off the coast of Senegal, convincing Questor to keep faith with the stock. The FTSE 250-listed oil explorer said it has discovered a “very substantial oil- bearing interval” at its FAN-1 well. Broker Liberum thinks the well may contain about 300 million barrels of oil, which could be worth up to 60p per share to the company.
Cairn focuses on oil and gas exploration in frontier regions and has eschewed a big role in the running of wells once the oil is flowing. The business model for Cairn is that once oil discoveries are made and developed, they are sold off and the cash returned to shareholders. Cairn was hit with a tax dispute from the Indian government in January, stemming from the firm’s largest-ever oil discoveries onshore in the country. In a deal structured to minimise the tax bill, the company sold a majority stake in Cairn India to Vedanta Resources in 2010, but retained a 10% holding valued at around $1 billion (£622 million), or 100p to shareholders. Cairn returned $3.5 billion to shareholders last year, but has put its $300 million share buy-back programme on hold. Frontier drilling is high risk. The odds of discovery are as low as about one in eight, said JP Morgan Cazenove. The costs of drilling offshore are also high, with each well costing up to $80 million, compared with about $20 million for onshore, according to Cairn. Questor said this was a high-risk option and expected a bumpy ride with the shares. However, it wouldn’t make sense to realise a loss in advance of the Senegal drilling results. For that reason the shares remain a buy. Cairn Energy at 183½p+3.6p Questor Says ‘Buy’.