RE: What's changed28 Dec 2023 12:31
Pickledpeck, to certaion extent i agree, points to consider is that the loan has a maturity of 102 months from 7th December, which is 8.5 years. also infers that this part of the deal was signed 3 weeks ago. it also infers that that they ARE GOING TO FINISH IT, if the loan doesnt come due until part way through 2031. however the intrest payable on it assuming a rateable amortization from 18 months from now would rbe in the region of 13.5 million, ie a cash flow hit of just over 5 million per annum, even though 15%, its not an unreasonalbe hit on the cash flow. the intrest refelcts the risk that the finance guys are putting on the loan compard otherpotential projects they have on their books.
the banks havent foregone intrest they have deferred payment of intrest, intrest will be incurred on the intrest payment due, plus the outstanding loan. this stil helps and adds to availabl cashflow ending the funding package being in place
The fundamental is that none of the cormerstone investors would have put a cent in, or the bank declared a delay interest payments unless there was a much greater than even chance of sorting the finance out before the end of February (which is presumably when the next interest payment is du)e , and also having more than an inkling on a road map as to how they were going to do it. This bodes well for the prospect of the mine being completed. However, it gives no indication of what the shareholding structure will be when they have sorted it out, and consequently how other Investors will fare compared to the 3 major shareholders.