BVS26 Oct 2012 09:24
From **************: Thursday 25th October 2012
The Markets
The UK is no longer in recession, with figures from the Office for National Statistics suggesting that third quarter Gross Domestic Product rose by 1% quarter-on-quarter, well ahead of consensus forecasts of 0.6%. Ticket sales for the London Olympics are believed to have contributed 20 basis points to the result, while the service sector grew by 1.3%, compared to a contraction of 0.1% in the prior quarter. Over in the US, initial jobless claims for the week ended 19th October fell to 369,000, from 392,000 in the prior week. The latest figure is broadly in-line with market expectations, while the unusually high result in the week before was attributed to seasonal technicalities.
At the London close the Dow Jones was up by 6.52 points at 13,057.21 and the Nasdaq was up by 2.56 points at 2,653.37.
In London the FTSE 100 rose by 0.27 points to 5,805.05; the FTSE 250 finished 109.49 points up at 11,972.15; the FTSE All-Share gained 4.00 points to 3,035.90; and the FTSE AIM Index declined by 6.88 points to 700.80.
Broker Notes
Panmure Gordon maintained its "sell" recommendation for Cineworld (CINE) with a target price of 220p. The broker emphasised disappointing industry admissions data, noting that September figures were down by 17%. Panmure believes that the firm will benefit from the release of the latest Bond film "Skyfall" but is not convinced that the last two months of the year will be enough to make up the shortfall. On the broker's forecasts, the shares trade on a prospective EV/EBIDAR multiple of 7.4 for the 2012 financial year, but the broker feels that a multiple of 7 times would be more appropriate. Cineworld shares fell 0.75p to 248.25p.
N+1 Singer kept its "buy" rating for Vectura Group (VEC) with a target price of 120p. The broker said that the drug discovery company's partner Novartis filed its chronic obstructive pulmonary disease therapy, QVA149, with the European Medicines Agency, following successful Phase III trials. As a result, Singer noted that Vectura is due a 5 million dollar (3.1 million pound) milestone payment. The broker also pointed to good progress made by the company towards achieving regulatory approval for a number of its other products, such as Seebri in Europe, Canada and Japan. The shares inched up 0.5p to 90p.
Northland Capital reiterated its "buy" recommendation for Bovis Homes (BVS) while increasing its target price from 560p to 600p. The broker pointed to a strong growth in sales from 82 active sites and noted that the housebuilder's margins have improved to 10.3% in the first half of its financial year, from 7.5% in 2011's comparable period, as it benefited from site openings on new land. Northland added that the firm's revenue growth rate is accelerating as it secured more forward sales and enjoyed higher average sales prices. On the broker's forecasts, the shares trad