DCG21 Jan 2013 08:15
Dairy Crest supplies a third of the country’s milk, including all that sold by Waitrose and Marks & Spencer. Sainsbury’s and Morrison – but not Tesco – are key customers, too, as well as corner shops, hospitals and restaurants. But milk is a commodity and profit margins are low, so the company has to work hard to deliver returns to investors and keep customers and suppliers happy. The firm has made tangible progress towards that end and Chief Executive Mark Allen intends to lift the milk division’s profits from about 10m pounds to about 30m pounds over two to three years. Dairies are being merged, new machines have been acquired that process milk faster and more efficiently and the business has invested heavily in software that will ensure it transports milk more cost-effectively. Furthermore, the firm is doing much better with dairy products. Last year, Allen sold French spreads firm St Hubert for 344m pounds, since when he has been looking for acquisitions.
For the year to this March, brokers expect profits of 50m pounds rising to nearly 60m pounds in 2014. The dividend is forecast at 22p in 2013, rising to 23p in 2014, so the stock is on a yield of more than 5%. Lastly, milk prices have at least started to rise recently and the outlook is better than it has been for years. At 4001⁄2p, the shares offer good, long-term value. The shares should increase. Buy, says The Financial Mail on Sunday’s Midas column.