AGK17 Dec 2012 07:28
Outlook
The work we have done on our Strategy Review confirms that we are the leader in attractive markets which will deliver long-term growth, and we look forward to sharing this analysis with investors in March. However, after a year of strong growth in 2012, the economic environment we will be facing in 2013 is particularly uncertain in many of our markets and it is difficult at this stage to provide a definitive view of the likely pattern of trading in 2013.
Also, and as expected, Aggreko will not have the benefit in 2013 of the Olympics to bolster the Local business and the planned reduction in numbers of US troops in Afghanistan will lead to a further reduction in Military revenues. We are also waiting to learn whether our Japanese clients intend to extend their contracts into the second half of 2013. Our current assumption is that revenues from these three items combined will be around £100 million lower in 2013 than in 2012.
In the Local business, we expect to see continued underlying growth in 2013, and at this stage we believe that it will deliver another positive year. In the market for International Power Projects, the weakening trend in economic growth in many emerging markets, which we identified in our October statement, has continued; our previous experience suggests that in these circumstances customers may in the short term be under less pressure to secure additional power generation.