LSE19 Jul 2012 08:46
It is arguable how reliable is the earnings stream the London Stock Exchange gets from having money left on deposit there. This is a one-off boost from the sovereign debt crisis and the high interest rates in Italy. Then again, there is little sign of the crisis being resolved, so perhaps the earnings are safe enough for now. It certainly gave a useful enough boost to first-quarter revenues, up 10% despite the weaker euro, and offset the quiet conditions in equities trading and post-trade functions such as clearing and settlement. Revenues from these are all tied to the level of activity in the market, and that level is pitifully low. Ten years ago the LSE was pretty much just about trading equities in London; research from Numis Securities suggests this was about half the group in 2010, but will be a quarter by 2015. Meanwhile, post-trade services will have grown over the same period from 19 per cent to 37%, allowing for the purchase of a majority stake in LCH. Clearnet still rumbling through the competition authorities. LSE shares, off 11p at £10.02, sell on 9.5 times earnings but are 200p up since the start of the year, which does not suggest much further to go in these markets, Tempus says.