SNR23 Jul 2012 13:02
Outlook
The large commercial aircraft market, which now accounts for 50% of the Aerospace Division's revenue, is anticipated to be strong for a number of years. Boeing and Airbus are in the process of increasing build rates for all of their major platforms, including the Boeing 787 which entered service at the end of 2011 and on which Senior has significant content. Further growth is expected when Airbus delivers the new A350 aircraft to its first customer during 2014. The regional and business jet markets are broadly stable, although relatively weak, with manufacturers anticipating a gradual increase in build rates when the global economic climate improves. In the meantime, a number of new programmes are scheduled to go into production in the next couple of years, such as Bombardier's CSeries aircraft. Whilst Senior's main military platforms, the Black Hawk helicopter and the C‑130J transport aircraft, are solid today, future weakness cannot be discounted given the general ongoing squeeze on Western governments' defence spending. However, Senior has healthy content on the newly developing F35 Joint Strike Fighter, P-8A maritime surveillance aircraft and A400M military transporter programmes, whose build rates are anticipated to grow over the coming years so providing some resilience for the future.
In the Flexonics Division, North American truck volumes are currently at satisfactory levels, following a recent moderation in growth expectations, and new programmes and lower material prices are mitigating some of the volume weakness in Senior's European passenger vehicle markets. The Group's industrial markets continue to be mixed with a number of expansion joint opportunities being pursued in Asia and the Middle East.
Looking further ahead, the Flexonics Division's ongoing development of cooling and emission control products, particularly for the heavy-duty truck and off-highway vehicle markets, can be anticipated to contribute to future growth. Tightening emission legislation and growth in renewable energy markets can also be expected to provide healthy longer-term opportunities for the Group.