Member Info for Mulder

1. SP down 40% in 6 weeks since the update. That's massive. Why exactly? 2. If this is such a basketcase of a company why are short positions <0.5%? 3. CEO bought £100K worth at 140p 6 weeks ago. CFO a small sum also. Nothing since by anyone even at all time lows. Why? Results are not for another 2 months so far too early for a closed period. 4. Lack of holdings RNS despite mass selling as per technicals. 5. What made the management spend £10M or so on attracting new customers? 6. Some posters predicted 100p when the SP was 140p. Reasons? 7. Probable leak of bad news and insider trading given market clearly does not believe current EPS guidance or forward P/E of 8-9.

ZAR gold price not doing too well. Very disappointing SP performance. H1 results not far off now - 13/2

Company broker shamefully quiet. IR, CEO, BOD have all pushed the mute button despite having seen the SP HALVE in the past year. ONE reduction in holdings RNS issued in all this time. The FCA have truly become useless and utter garbage with zero regulation. Some posters here will work for/have close ties to Saga. May be able to shed some light here.

I can only assume all of Saga's 3 million customers jumped ship in the last 6 weeks and profits will be zero this year. That is what Mr Market is telling us.

Charts are all well and good but there are so many variables that could reverse things very quickly. Full year results are released in 4 weeks. This covered the period to 31/12/17 so figures will already be coming in and no doubt the city boys will get wind of the profits/EPS early and whether the final Spring dividend will be maintained. Take over rumours could resurface any day. Oil is now at $70 and rising People forget Centrica has significant O&G assets. Other operators in the UK Continental Shelf like ENQ and PMO have seen their share prices increase 50% in the past 3 months alone. A drop in indices will see people move into defensive stocks like this. etc. etc.

50 million barrels produced at an oil price of $70 now is far better than the $45 same time last year.

More snow, freezing temperatures and a big freeze in North America can only be good for Centrica profits.

Was not even aware of such a site! What sad person has made that website?! Incredibly sad... My recommendations are always based on fundamentals such as P/E, RSI, balance sheet.

That buy info was from the London Stock Exchange. BTW I can see a Spire like situation arising over at Saga and LWB which I know you are already in. Centrica also seems too low IMO. If you fancy a profitable, dividend paying and growing gold miner to hedge against a falling market consider PAF.

16/01/18 BUY Roger Whiteside CEO 22,520 @ 219.90p �49,521 11/01/18 BUY Karen Hubbard CEO 20,387 @ 239.10p �48,745

After the dip into the close make that an RSI of 18 and a Williams % of -99.9%

An RSI of 19 and Williams Score of -97 means this is currently very 'oversold' on a technical level. It is also pretty much trading at the all time low from 2014. This floated at 225p.

Which insurer out there wants Saga's 2.7 million customers? IPO price was 185p in 2014.

& just 2 holdings RNS...

Bought in here today at 216p. Was hovering near 300p not long ago and downgrades do not warrant a 25% fall IMO. P/E around 11 is also low.

For most of the past 3 years since the flotation the market was happy to price Saga on a P/E around 15. EPS last year was 14.1p and is expected to be up by 1-2% this year before a fall of around 5% next year. Being pessimistic lets make that drop 7-8% which gives EPS around 13p. If the market had remained consistent with a P/E of 15 that still gives an SP of 195p. That's quite a difference to the current SP....Highlights how rogue the market is really. It is quite happy giving shares like BTG a P/E of 86, Just Eat a P/E of 70 or more, Abcam P/E 55 but others like this, WTB, SBRY, Centrica, SSE, UU (defensive big cap utilities) etc. a P/E around 10 is considered 'too high'. Far too much premium is assigned to the word 'growth'. Hikma pharmaceuticals was at 2600p earlier last year but as soon as it was deemed to no longer be a high-growth stock it crashed down to as low as 900p (65% drop!) - profits and revenues were actually up by 1% but this was deemed to not be 'enough'. Scary and totally mad.

I would forward that on to Ornskov himself and the IR dept.

Given the steep rise in SP at the close that was most likely a buy actually. You can't trust the buy/sell data. RSI data also suggests it was a buy. 16:35 124.00p 1,650,000 �2,046,000

14:01 124.00p 500,000 �620,000 15:16 124.00p 300,000 �372,000 15:17 124.00p 200,000 �248,000

Their previous position was 2% according to the FT.