FT/IC say BUY2 Jan 2018 15:28
Don't waste time – buy Pennon
IC View
The group operates a generous dividend policy of RPI plus 4 per cent, which at the last results was more than twice covered by adjusted earnings. This lasts until the end of the current regulatory period in 2020, by which time we can expect increased earnings from the waste division to help provide groundwork for further growth. However, the uncertainty about the future of the water business has pushed the valuation of Pennon’s shares down towards a five-year low, with the forward earnings multiple well within the bottom 10 per cent of the five-year range and the expected yield in the top 3 per cent. Pennon’s history as a best-in-class water company means we think the chances of an impressive AMP7 outcome look good. The potential implications of renationalisation were it to happen are very hard to predict, but it may be rash to assume the impact on shareholders would be swingeing. Meanwhile, investment in the waste business provides a useful diversifier against political upheaval. Buy.
Last IC View: Buy, 782p, 1 Dec 2017