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This share reminds me of metro bank. Investors bought in on the strength of an individual with a great track record. Unfortunately the candle doesn’t always keep burning bright.
They went from £40 to 74p currently. He’s a similar age also.
I cant see Mr O'leary sharing data with his fellow aviators, no. He's already announced that as soon as eastern europe/ukraine is safe, he's going in big. My opinion is that airlines arent in a good position at this moment in time. Obviously that could change. My best trade this year was Easyjet, so im not against them, just this one looks less attractive than others and the timing for all of them is not right. As I said, all imo opinion and of course I could be wrong!
Isn’t that called a ticket price rise? when the industry are currently discounting. It will come down to the fuel hedge on the success of the carrier. I was reading a report yesterday that suggests fuel will remain in a range of $100-140 until 2026. $Oil $94 this morning.
I have no evidence but I believe something with the Middle East is happening here in some form, other than what we already know. The dividend is now becoming less attractive which is good as it keeps the share out the headlines for the wrong reasons. They’ll be loads of people taking money back at around 85 where it was prior to dividend payout and then again at £1 because, we’ll because £1 is a nice even number.
I would suggest you try and put yourself six moths to a year ahead with your thoughts and calculations. The immediate news simply confirms or not the predictions that have already been made. Also, the forecasts are a big part of any result for the reasons above. This why shares drop on what appear to be good results. For example with this share, oil hit $93 a barrel this morning and is predicted to go to $100 this winter. labour force costs, parts consumables have all gone up. Airlines have recently started to cut ticket prices and Wizz won’t make a profit in its best year to date. That doesn’t paint a great picture to me. What you need to work out is the price reflective of this? It could go either way as they all can!
I believe revenues will be slightly better than forecast and cost cuts will also add to margins. We’ll find and one side of the fence will be right. Jax you firmly believe that this share is going down along with the company and that’s fine, your entitled to your perspective as we all are. What I can get my head around is the fact everyone here who has the opposite view to you, are holding long physical shares and therefore validate there conviction. You don’t have a position to support your view? 🤷🏼♂️ i therefore conclude your participation a total waste of your time. Unless it’s a hobby? Please share your thoughts.
I understand your logic, but the short positions are a concern.
Imo it’s the wrong time to be in the early stages of an expansion and sometimes timing is everything. Airlines are uncertain investments at the best of times. I’d
Like to get in here but I’m going to wait.