RE: Millionaire-Maker Stock: Could This Uranium Bull Market Give You 20x Your Money?8 Jun 2021 12:11
For a bullish article, it is strange that the Fool underplays the previous uranium bull market. Some of the 2003-2007 returns were many multiples of 20x, Cameco, the industry leader went up 1300%. Take for example:
- Cameco (NYSE:CCJ) - 2003-2007: +1300%/13x
- Denison Mines (TSX:DML) - 2003-2007: +5200%/52x
- Bannerman Resources (ASX:BMN) – 2005-2007: +6800%/68x
- Forsys metals (TSX:FSY) - 2003-2007: +11200%/112x
- Paladin Energy (ASX:PDN) - 2003-2007: +95600%/956x
The market caps of the uranium companies started from a higher base this time, so not doubt there will be less multiples. However an interesting difference between the previous uranium bull market and this one is the recent development of the Sprott Physical Uranium Trust enabling "at the market" offerings. This will result in more frequent issuance of shares and more frequent spot market purchases, which ensures there will be a consistent bid in the uranium spot market. This physical uranium trading vehicle has the potential to move the spot market in a much faster manor than the previous Uranium participation corp vehicle that would need to wait for the stock to be trading at a significant premium to NAV before it was worthwhile to raise capital, due to the broker expenses of raising capital this way. So with UPCs previous vehicle it would maybe raise capital a few times in a year, the SPUT would be able to raise capital through ATM offerings 10/20+ times a year, depending on appetite.
The other difference worth noting is that UPC was only listed in Canada in the previous bull market, cutting off some of the American capital that would have invested in physical uranium. The NYSE is 13x larger than the TSX and is the biggest capital market in the world. Having SPUT listing on the NYSE will be a game changer and we will see vastly more capital flowing into physical uranium. There is also the other benefit of having SPUT tradable on RobinHood.
The risk to reward setup for physical uranium through YCA or TSX:U may not have the potential upside some of the miners, however it is definitely one of the most attractive investments on a risk to return basis there is on the market right now IMO, DYOR.