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Candlestick - these are exactly the sort of questions I feel should be getting asked and addressed at a shareholders meeting. Both a general consensus and a plan need to be developed, with all shareholders.
All the Directors and the NOMAD need to see and approve the RNS. AS far as I know its the NOMAD who releases the RNS on behalf of the company.
Does the NOMAD not bear some responsibility for the RNS? I understood that they have to approve the content before it's released??
NG
…and I know what happened to HE1 post-raise, so maybe that is the plan. Lots and lots of short term pain but with a big end result based on 2 big well results?
I’ve read through the RNS a few times now and really don’t get where we are (I mean, I know we’re fooked, but the whole message doesn’t make sense. We’re not able to complete a JV, but we can’t raise funds either. For a project with an NPV of $200m net to Deltic.
I sense we have the mother of all fundraising coming, there’s no way they’ll give back their share. The problem will be the dilution at this level (or lower). If they need to raise the full £15m - and I’d suggest they should or there’ll be another raise on the way - we may be looking at HE1 or SCE levels to get those numbers.
Even if we manage somehow to raise at 18p, that’s 90% dilution.
At 15p it’s 127%
At 12p it’s 184%
At 10p it’s 241%
And a very worst case of 7p it’s almost 400% dilution. I don’t see it that low but SCE SH were diluted by almost 200% - they raised at a discount of 66%, where HE1 raised at a 72% discount. Something close to that would be sub 7p here.
Maybe they are trying to play hardball, but who in their right mind would go down the route of screwing over the shareholder base as they have, just as a tactic 🤷♂️
Getafgrip, I agree with you, there is zero chance of a meeting/getting more details during May.
I have supported a fundraise for a while, as that's the way of retaining maximum value in the asset, but clearly that was not part of the strategy. The CEO has been very on that. However, if we are genuinely on the ropes now, an emergency fundraise should be attempted. It may have been aired with the large shareholders or other parties, with no great interest. This may explain the RNS, as it will call their bluff.
It doesn't actually matter at what price the fundraise is done, as long as ALL shareholders are given the chance to buy their fair share. This is my biggest fear, ie that an accelerated bookbuild will give large investors more shares, relatively. Without them investing, you cannot realistically do a fundraise with just small investors like us.
The post funding value would jump significantly as you would have 2 fully funded drills, with 30% retained in Pensacola. From a cap sheet perspective, it's a big winner. If we are left out, we will get diluted to hell, in which case we are better off letting Pensacola go to be honest.
Emails to the CEO should really focus on getting a fundraise done asap, fairly!! That's what I will do.
Getagrip, there are very many disgruntled shareholders. The RNS, like the Face of Janus, faces different ways, which does covers GS whatever the outcome. That said, Swindells is responsible for issuing a very badly crafted RNS, that led to a catastrophic collapse of the SP.
Done ive e maild the company requesting a meeting Rot
Getagrip - While I strongly suspect you will be right, a clearer strategy communication would be helpful, esp if they may be looking for funding from shareholders which I continue to view as being an alternative that should be explored rather than simply losing Pensacola - it may already have been with the large shareholders which is another reason for an open meeting accessible to all shareholders being helpful. If us smaller shareholders don't ask for the same access to information that larger shareholders (may) be getting then they'll continue to keep us in the dark so while an open shareholder meeting may not happen I'd encourage everyone to ask as this would give us the best chance at having questions answered.
I'd also note that a shareholder meeting is not the place to air past frustrations it's about understanding the current challenges and board decisions so we can decide to support the board going forward or if I should be selling my shares at the moment I'm guessing if there any future or if all hope is lost and a lot can be gleamed from the way something is said.
I still think there's a future and so I'm still invested.
A few requests from disillusioned shareholders, e-mailed to Deltic, has a chance of achieving anything meaningful that hovers around zero. Deltic will not be involved in delicate negotiations with regard to the FO of Pensacola one minute, and then give away the essentials of its negotiating stance to a few disgruntled shareholders the next!
This is not going to happen! It is the application of their business strategy, priorities and objectives, in a complex, pressurised & highly competitive market-place. Otherwise they would be in danger of involving themselves in "a camel is a horse designed by a committee" scenario!
May will probably see the objectives of the RNS become clearer, but I don't think Deltic will reach a point at any time/soon where they can give shareholders a detailed explanation of the rationale, true objectives and true motivations behind the RNS!
I've emailed Deltic and suggested that a shareholder update meeting would be helpful so questions can be answered. I'm firstly surprised by the material change in tone of the RNS information in the last 3 months, moving from 'significant interest' on 19th Jan with $200M valuation to a potential loss of licence on the 30th April with nothing in-between, even in the annual results on the 17th April (13 days earlier) no update to the 'significant interest' position of the 19th Jan was given. I'd encourage others to also request a shareholder update meeting so questions about the current options be progressed can be answered as it does feel like there must be alternatives rather than zero interest in a potentially $200M asset that Shell feels is still worth drilling simply being lost at $0 value. There's also the question over how they are safeguarding Selene from ending up in a similar situation.
Yes I'm also in shock at this turn of events and hope it's not just small shareholders being shafted, but it's business and as a shareholder I principally want to know what's going on rather than being left to guess...like why a fundraise isn't being considered, even at a heavily discounted price.
A shareholder Q&A (in the very near future) would help close the information gaps that the RNS has created, please ask Deltic to make this happen.
I have a feeling in my water that there is more to this than we currently know. Although it has to be said that I am ever the optimist, time will tell if my eternal optimism is misplaced. I bl00dy hope not fingers crossed!!!
Thanks SE! Got the jist of it from the broker note. Surprised they are struggling with 15m tbh, especially given the scope for return.
PS, I ain't exactly a knowledgeable poster ;-)
Gordon, Shell haven't given up on Pensacola, the problem is that Deltic have to find someone (or something) to fund the circa £15M Deltic need to pay their way towards the drilling costs! All very frustrating as the potential benefits to Deltic are probably 10x that amount. This situation and the RNS released earlier this week is obviously a big worry, but I am hoping it's Deltic's way of managing expectations in that if they can do any sort of deal then after that awful RNS we will be dancing in the aisles, as our expectations as shareholders have suddenly changed in a negative way.
Can a knowledgeable poster give me some background on why SHELL won’t back the second project? If it is one of the more prolific finds in the North Sea surely the political backdrop should have limited impact on a jv? A lot can change in a few months, why can’t they get an agreement lined up and if it does become unviable then they can revisit?
Cash position of £9.1 million at 30 June 2023 (31 December 2022: £20.4 million), with a net cash outflow for the period of £11.3 million (H1 2022: £2.5 million). The first half of 2023 saw significant planned investment and use of capital to complete the drilling of the Pensacola discovery.
D6576, I love your optimism, but this will only fly in two scenarios:
1) Pensacola is saved. First jump. Pensacola and Selene drills go well, second/third jumps.
2) Pensacola is lost and the Selene drill goes well, first jump; until then a random muddle in the current range, possibly lower due to the psychological impact of the monumental failure of the Delt management team (their last one no doubt), even though a loss of Pensacola is already baked in.
Milestone achievement.This will fly next week.💪💪💪💪👀👀💯💯💯
Selene has farmed out but remains 30% I think. It is a great site being low risk with Shell picking up some of the partnership. From a broker note its worth about 89p derisked! Obviously they are quite rampy but at 19p this is a no brainier!!!
Licence worth in billions.
What is Selene worth to DELT?
Price keeps falling
Getafgrip, correct, but I cannot see the board (and large shareholders such as Spencer and Sneller) accepting a low ball offer. Then it's better to just give up Pensacola and take it from there.