RE: Offer Bounce2 Jun 2026 14:03
Been putting some theories into the AI bots about MPL, and it seems to me that there is a roughly 50% chance of a positive outcome next week: i.e. that the tribunal rules that the CoC process was potentially flawed (maybe 20%) or that they are not sure but would like to undertake further investigation/scrutiny (maybe 30%). Either of those outcomes keep this process alive and put pressure on a settlement. Even a relatively weak outcome could invite a "nuisance settlement" of a few million, basically the current Mcap, which would be multiples from here in terms of SP.