Going carefully forward18 May 2019 09:25
I've spent some time running through GL's statements and appearances this week trying to get an idea of why he was managing expectations at Brockham, why the sudden and new need to "consult partners", the "interpretation" issue and not having the test gear on site.
As Alan and other shave pointed out this is a bit odd...
I suspect the key may be in his mention of looking at the UKOG/HHDL work - we know UKOG screwed up Broadford Bridge and we know they seem to be doing OK at Horse Hill so we presume that lessons were learnt by UKOG. It's also in their interest to have a success down the road so they were probably quite helpful.
Perhaps, looking at how Brockham was drilled originally, there is something that looked like the right thing to do then but now maybe you'd do differently? It might be acid, or fluids or additives or something simple like timings and order of operations. Something that makes you think.... remember Alba are in both licences and brought on a couple of really experienced O&G specialists - they maybe advising as well.
I could see Lucan having a root & branch review when he came on board and had a good rummage to see if there were ANY possible issues. This would have been flagged and so he decided to move forward one step at a time (I can imagine how Vonk & JTP would have gone at it.... full speed ahead and damn the torpedoes). re- enter the well, isolate the water - re-perforate - (that suggests a learning - didn't HHDL re-perforate sum of Horse Hill on their latest test?) then look at ALL the data again and decide exactly how to move forward and know all the possible good and bad signs to watch for.
And, as he is a careful sort of bloke, what is Plan B if it all goes Broadford Bridge? Spread the risk, get some other , non Weald , interests so the Company isn't totally dependent on the single play. Hence Saltfleetby (never going to make a fortune but should pay the bills) and other , possibly non-UK, new ventures as well.
I really don't think they've actually seen anything bad so far - if so the share price would have tanked big time - and it will be maybe a month before we hear how Brockham is really doing so no change right now. At least Lucan seems to have a head on his shoulders and something other than air (Vonk) or bone (JTP) between his ears........