Member Info for Miggy007

Hi Woodie, I agree yeah, I should say I do like Sir John Bell. He speaks as he finds and he isn’t stuffy. ATB.

Hi Geeman- all good points, I would call my horse bets ‘investments’ that’s probably the word your looking for with shares. In many ways things are the same between mediums. At the very least you need to do a lot of research before risking your money. In the racing world it is quite amazing the level of knowledge although many punters who attend bookies will probably not be the shrewdest. Some reason for that is that bookies since the advent of online gambling do not offer the best odds anymore. The best odds and place terms etc are online. Another is that if you stand in a bookies all day you are likely to get sucked in to making many bets. The more bets you make the more likely you are to lose imo. Finding a few quality bets I have found to be key. Probably the same with shares although I’m not as experienced here. So imo it comes down to judgment in investment. It doesn’t matter how much money you start with if you can’t display good judgment in picking winners you will lose all your money in any medium. Once that has been nailed (accepting you will not get them all right) entry and exit point require strict discipline. I’m gradually learning that:). Patience is a real key skill to have. Sometimes doing nothing is the best policy. Knowing when not to bet being just as important as when to fill your boots. GLA.

I saw Sir John Bell on Channel 4 news. When they asked him about chances of a successful vaccine he seemed as keen to talk about that as Prince Andrew did about visiting Pizza Express. Definitely got the impression the can is being kicked further down the road on the vaccine front. Originally oxford was 80% certain would be ready by September, then Christmas, now Spring at the earliest. By their own admission they know it creates an antibody response but they have no idea if it works effectively.

Simmo- I actually came out of Tils yesterday, got the free shares and thought I would bail. I prefer the science here really. Just seems a bit more concrete. Nothing wrong with spreading the risk and if you are happy with your in price then all the best. Something that does strike me as a little ironic is that if you are betting you get all the warnings such as ‘when the fun stops, stop’ etc. Gamblers Anonymous, other support groups. With share dealing you get none of that but you can lose your money just as easily. I’ve had ups and downs since I began at this game who doesn’t. Share dealing is seen as respectable, gambling in the casino or at the track gun-ho. My opinion is it is all the same thing really except the commodity is different. As a matter of fact their is a strong case of the other forms of gambling being more transparent than the stock market.

Dummy- can you sell your other 500 shares, your sell out seems to have sparked off some proper buying. Thank you.

110 times - imagine the upside when it was 35p. :). It was so heavily weighted that to me it was irresistible. Even now with successful phase II’s and much scientific evidence and scholarly support people are still doubting the data etc. I guess some people always will but listen. Would the unchallengeable reputation and dedication of Prof Holgate, RM and Co. Be prepared to risk millions to them personally and more importantly their reputations if they think this didn’t work??. Very simply no they wouldn’t.

Dumbpunter- sounds like you choose your moniker well. Everyone has the right to sell of course for any reason but the positive Phase II results were based on a little more than ‘feeling better’ as you put it.

The endpoints were based on the WHO approved scale if my memory serves me correctly. One of which was the ability to carry out day to day tasks as per normal. Not just feeling better??? Breathlessness was another. Thats pretty important in my book. It isn’t just feeling better is it??. I believe from memory two or three people died on placebo, no one died on SNG001. That’s not just feeling better is it?. Their is a reason low interferon levels equate to severity of disease. The same as why the incubators of these viruses, bats amongst them have really high levels of interferon, the virus never has chance to gain a foothold. Same for children as a cohort, high levels of interferon, no or little susceptibility to the virus. By replacing what is missing in vulnerable groups it doesn’t take a rocket scientist to realise this drug is a winner. I’ll take Professor Sir Stephen Holgate’s beliefs and years of hard work over your opinion every time. And he’s a lot more heavily vested than you too Dummy.

Does seem a bit odd venrock lowering their holding. Also odd how the SP heads down to 160’s then bounces quickly back to 175p. Purely summisation but Venrock RNS’s selling smallish amounts intended to suppress the SP. Another buyer moves in and hoovers up the shares at a discount to the placement price. Just seems an odd play from Venrock otherwise but hey ho.

When Tony Blair was training to be a barrister he wasn’t well liked. People knew he was shifty back then. A line that springs to mind with him is ‘one can smile and smile and be a villain’. I don’t doubt he believed he was doing the right thing by going to war in Iraq and had the authority of christianity behind him. That belief made him more dangerous in a puritan way. You can only imagine the conversation that went on at Camp David 18 months before the gulf war started. Their was ultimately no way the powers that be were going to let a rogue leader trash his way through the oil producing Middle Eastern states. It was also the decision by Saudi Arabia to allow Americans onto their soil that created Al Qaeda.

I’d be quite up for contacting owners of local care homes, I actually know of someone in the business and maybe send them a brief explanation about SNG and a link to the home trial page. If enough of us did that, concentrating on local homes, given our diverse geography, it possibly could make a major difference and who knows might actually save some lives. I think we all know this thing is going to get a lot worse before it gets better, lockdown or not.

Hi Woodstock, I was thinking the same earlier, pattern for SNG seems gradual decline then boom. Jumps up 15-20% for little apparent reason. Seems a while since the last one but it'll happen again.

DOC- it won't be that slow and frustrating. We've been told it could be done and dusted in around 2 months from start date in November tbc. Firm delivering the trial has done a couple of these trials in 2 month timeframes so their is precedence.

Org- nothing wrong with a balanced view i agree. One thing i would add is that none of us can possibly know what news flow will come over the next eight weeks. I don't believe the next news we will hear will be in Feb/March and success in phase III trials. Their could be any number of announcements from left field regarding emergency use, partnership news, licence deals other types of collaboration, all possible in next couple of months. We have the online AIM awards in a months time which would showcase us that bit more if we win the category, which i think we will. So lots of possibilities which would drive the share price. Something else is NUMIS. I can't help but think they have brought II's on board and pitched the company at 175p. Not going to look to great on them if we head down to 150p or below. I appreciate II's don't play short term but even so i think that could be a news driver, watch this space.:)

1.75p very fair price for the placement

youknowwho- I'm pleased the share placing was at 1.75p tbh. Think it was based on an average of the previous ten days trading, something like that. If they had set it lower it would have meant more shares and thus more dilution to existing shareholders holdings. 1.75p was a very raise price imo.

I bought the 175p placing shares too. Could have cancelled out but i felt it was right to support the company at relatively small cost. Ive been buying at 162 and below today. When we had the placing at 35p the share only went to 32p as best i recall, so 10% retreat at worse. Around 10% off here now give or take a couple of pennies. Nothing would shock me but i'd be a little suprised if we went much lower from these prices.

Nolupus,

Funny thing is you are right:) You shouldn't go all in. Ive had pretty good success at punting for over twenty years and would never go all in on that discipline. Yet with the share here I did. I do remember reading Warren B saying it is ok to have all your eggs in one basket if its a good basket!.

Only other thing I would say is that aggression can be a good thing if chanelled in the right way. 'Controlled aggression' i suppose would be the aim in certain situations.

I think it is fair to say that sometimes in life you reach a point where all you can do through the pain or stress is smile back and be grateful we are all here still playing the great time. On a few occassions I have been under immense stress but I would like to share with you that there comes a moment when all you feel is serenity for lack of a better word. I think it comes with accepting your situation is what it is and your predictament/position is committed and you are not backing down. One occassion was when a harness i was wearing became stuck on a sharp rock whilst descending a waterfall in Wales, I can imagine it was similar to being waterboarded. (Don't ask!).

Another time was when i took a chance on a bet, which meant I would have enough to make a house purchase or not (It was make or break day for the deposit). Fortunately it won. And the other was being all in (probably not clever) pre Manic Monday here, maxed out overdraft and credit cards everything. On all of those occassions, my mind was obviously all over the show until a kind of peace kicked in and you think clearly again without fear making any further decision for you. I kind of feel that here again now. Deep down i'm convinced this share is a winner and if the market is stumbling to appreciate that then thats their problem. All that have done their research here know what I'm talking about. If you can hang onto your shares then it takes the stress out of it really. If you need a break from the screens, go get some fresh air and switch the laptop off. At some point in the not too distant future the SP is going to be well north of here. I'm not saying it won't be bumpy but this is a news driven share as RM says. GLA.

I’m much rather be in this than any mining stock. Going back a hundred years they’ve always been a pray and hope investment. Even the Klondike gold rush didn’t make 99% of miners money. It was the people who provided services to the people flocking there such as hoteliers and restaurants. DYOR.

Why the drop Punit?