PAUL SCOTT comments - STOCKOPEDIA26 Jul 2022 16:12
This was supposed to list in 2019, but eventually floated during the Covid-induced DIY boom in 2021, as a spin-off from Travis Perkins (LON:TPK) . Today’s trading update starts promisingly and reports like-for-like sales growth of 5.4% in Q2 (so that H1 like-for-like sales are up 0.8% overall). But it then describes “signs of softening” in its markets, in more recent weeks.
Customers are “reacting to the uncertain macroeconomic backdrop” and “taking longer to commit to big ticket projects”. Full-year adjusted PBT is now expected in the range of £72-82m. At the bottom end of the range, that looks like a miss of up to c. 17% against consensus forecasts, helping to explain the sharp drop in the share price today.
The DIY retail sector is one of the most economically exposed. While business at Wickes has boomed recently, the high profit margins seen in FY 2022 may not be representative of a sustainable or average performance. Estimates can get cut very, very quickly and the volatility of trading may correctly justify the cheapness of these shares.