Is there any way back7 Sep 2018 09:43
Very interesting analysis this morning from Investomania.
https://investomania.co.uk/2018/09/is-there-any-way-back-for-interserve-plc-after-62-fall-in-1-year/
In the last year Interserve plc (LON:IRV) (IRV.L) shares have fallen by around 62%. That’s an incredibly disappointing performance. And in the last couple of months, the company has shown little sign of mounting a successful turnaround, with its share price continuing to fall.
Clearly, investors are unsure about the company’s future. In my view, it faces a tough period which could lead to further volatility in its valuation.
The company’s recent update showed that sales growth may prove to be difficult to achieve, with a difficult operating environment inhibiting its top-line performance. And while the company is delivering on its strategy to reduce costs over the medium term, I feel that there could be further disruption ahead when it comes to its profitability.
In the current year, for instance, Interserve is expected to post a fall in EPS of around 77%. This could hurt investor sentiment and lead to continued falls in its valuation. After all, trends can persist for longer than many investors expect.
Looking ahead to next year, the company is expected to report a significant increase in EPS. This is due to reduce its P/E ratio to around 4. While an improved financial performance could be ahead from the company, I feel that there are risks facing it at the moment. High debt levels could hurt its financial progress, while it may take a period of sustained growth to turn investor sentiment from negative to positive.
In my opinion, Interserve lacks investment appeal at the moment. Although the company has won new contracts recently and is in the process of delivering on its strategy, I feel that it could take some time for it to perform a successful turnaround.
At a time when there are a number of other stocks that offer more appealing risk to reward ratios in my eyes, I’m not feeling particularly bullish about the company at the moment