RE: Mologic Ag Test28 Oct 2020 14:14
Timster - correct. One makes and sells tests.
Our test vs your test aside...... you really need to consider the fact that AVCT may never get a commercial test to market.
Yes Mologic are looking to develop a test that can sell to lower income countries as cheap as possible. They have set up a separate non commercial enterprise Global Access Diagnostics with 40m per year capacity. GAD will satisfy the low income market. Gates have just made over $20m donation to help fund it. What ODX have is the same tech with the ability to commercialise in their own brand to more suitable markets for commercial opportunity.
Affimers have never led to a commercial test and it is clear from AS comments that sensitivity is a problem. If all other tests have the same problem, AVCT may be ok, but if they cant get a sensitive enough test and others can, then the test will never get off the ground. It's clear despite the testing shortfall that regulators are not prepared to rush through tests, and the fact that affimers are an unknown quantity isn't going to help.
I don't really care what people choose to believe, as i've said before if MCAP was £50m i'd say it's about right for the level of risk. This is priced with 90% chance of success, where in reality i would say its more like 25% max. I hope for your sakes they do pull it off, but i think it's starting to look less likely.