Member Info for MCNol

I fear their price alerts will start to ping shortly and they will descend...

Glad to have you back, should be an interesting afternoon!

I would add that a trader who buys here expecting a push to 0.80p is looking for roughly a 1:2 R:R (risking a drop to the 0.65p support for a 0.13p gain). ..

Even if that trader is only right 40% of the time on these types of setups, they will remain consistently profitable over the long term...

Being "right" is for the ego; being "profitable" is for the account. If you manage your risk, you can be "wrong" most of the week and still end up in the green...

Imagine if we could get it right all of the time (like our beloved Trolls).

@Wyndrum My analysis is grounded in order flow dynamics and institutional liquidity signatures; I’m interested in the mechanics of the tape, not the consensus of the crowd....

@Jbatch read my post at 0844 yesterday, there are many many ways to hide you accumulation, which I have explained a few times this week already...

A Whale is a large-scale institutional investor, such as a hedge fund or pension fund, that moves significant capital, often millions of pounds, into a stock like HE1.

Unlike retail traders who buy and sell based on short-term excitement or fear, Whales execute "Block Trades" through off-book venues like SINT to acquire massive positions without instantly spiking the price. They are rarely looking for a quick flip or a company takeover; instead, they are making a Structural Bet on the company's long-term value, often accumulating shares when retail "minnows" are panic-selling...

I think I explained my thoughts on the overbought RSI at the time @Wyndrum

@Wyndrum

The retrace wasn't a sign of a failing "pump and dump," but rather a necessary liquidity event that allowed institutional "Whales" to enter the position...

For an Institutional investor to buy millions of shares without spiking the price to an impossible level, they need a high volume of sellers, which the drop from 1.05p provided by flushing out early warrant holders and nervous retail traders...

These big players don't support the price at the peak; they wait for the "weak hands" to exit so they can accumulate at a discount, which is exactly what we saw at the 0.60p floor..

Today's recovery toward 0.80p, backed by a dominant SINT/AIMx ratio indicates the (or more than one) "Whale" has staked out the 0.73p – 0.75p zone as their territory. They are letting the price "rest" here to encourage retail to sell, so they can finish filling their "Moby Dick" order before the close...

@Oscar1276 you are getting a little Stalky, not a healthy way to behave...

Look at 19 Feb 2026 08:44

@Wyndrum take a look at my posts for yesterday for my explanation on the TR1 absence

@Ocar1276 no "visions' just observations based on data and experience.

@Tiger179 There is no wisdom looking at the beach and saying, "I don't see a whale, so there must not be any whales in the ocean!"

@Oscar1276 you just cannot help yourself can you?

Applying FTSE 100 logic to a SETSqx- traded AIM stock, is the fundamental error of a "surface-level" trader. You are looking at the price while ignoring the mechanics of the market plumbing.

Imagine you want to buy 5,000 loaves of bread. You don't go to the local grocery store and buy every loaf off the shelf at the £1.00 sticker price, doing that would cause a local bread shortage and push the price to £2.00 instantly. Instead, you call the warehouse and negotiate a deal to buy them all at £0.85....

The SINT/AIMX ratio is heading toward 3.5 : 1

Have a look at the trades going through, not just Market Depth.

The fact that these multi-million share blocks are crossing at 0.73p - 0.75p while the "lit" price hits 0.80p shows that Market Makers are working buy orders in the background (SINT) at a discount to the current "FOMO" price on the public book..

After a vertical run from 0.64p to 0.80p (+25% in the morning session), it is natural for some intra-day traders to take profits during the "Lunch Lull" (12:00 – 14:00)...

Closing anywhere above the 0.75p mark confirms that today’s breakout was not just a "spike and fade" but a permanent shift in the floor...

Unless we see a sudden wave of retail panic, the technical setup favours a closing print between 0.785p and 0.81p...

Calling the SINT/AIMX ratio just a "reporting venue ratio" is like saying a speedometer is just a "needle movement meter"...it ignores the real-world force causing the needle to move....

Oh Oscar, teaching your mother to suck eggs sweetie...you clearly have little clue and experience on AIM....

SINT/AIMx Ratio Update: 2.9 : 1

The ratio continues to climb... the "Big Money" is now accounting for nearly 74% of the volume. The fact that the ratio is rising while the price is rising is the most bullish signal possible...it means the institutions are chasing the price higher, not just waiting for it to come to them....

The path to 0.78p (last Friday's high) is now wide open. Getting back to this level would represent a 100% recovery from this week's lows, signalling the start of a new bull phase....