RE: Gold In The Ground11 Nov 2023 17:17
Eloro...that is a fascinating, insightful and significant article.
Its core conclusion is the average valuation of gold in the ground of $63/ounce...
Translate that to SOLG and you get $63 x 75 million ounces of gold equivalent, i.e. $4.725 BILLION, i.e. £3.9 BILLION, whch is
£1.25 a share...
The article also states that we are already in a gold market, ehich is why I contend we should be valued as a GOLD miner.
Junior Miners are mostly badly beaten down, but there is always eventually a bull market where many companies will multibag...why? Because the major miners aren't building enough resource; they have been complacent over acquisitions and when the rush starts they will start buying miners they could have got a whole lot cheaper...
But more importantly we will have a Junior GOLD Miner boom, for exactly the reasins mentioned in the article, especially that Governments have been buying gold like theres no tomorrow, plus gold has great defensive qualities when there is so much uncertainty.
GDXJ is about to break out and we will have our day...
And SOLG is a two way bet because we haven't even mentioned the copper price boom that most MAJOR commentators say is inevitable...probably by 2025...
So I'm just worrying that, with 20 interested parties in the data room, the real reason for the delay is that they don't know what to value SOLG at...
On reflection it should be no surprise that the SOLG share price is languishing...not just because Junior Miners are beaten down, but because everybody except the predators is fully invested and waiting...
There has been no TR1 so Berry Street's shares have almost certainly gone into institutional hands unless a new predator has bought them but is under 3%...
You see the irony is that if an existing predator, i.e. BHP, Newmont or Jiangxi declare an increased holding, or a new potential predator pops above 3% the SP will fly on Bid speculation.
So I come back to where to value SOLG.
If a predator values it at, say 30p they will immediately be hit by a counterbid(s), maybe even from a company(ies) that don't even have any shares.
You don't need to have any shares to make a bid.
And you can bet the Board isn't going to announce a recommended bid much below 80p unless they are certain it will trigger a counterbid(s), as happened with Noront.
So the ultimately successful bidder will only be confident of winning with a 'knockout' bid, which IMO would have to be north of £1.
Remember we have TWO Tier 1 projects that we know about but we also have half a dozen that could prove to be Tier 1 and over 90 projects in total....
My wife and I have almost 1.4 million shares. This is no Sirius and I am very confident we will make a life changing amount of money.
After all SOLG has served us very well so far...