RE: End of year prediction.8 Feb 2021 17:59
Thanks guys/guyettes for humouring my more pragmatic approach. Some useful responses.
@roselow - agree investment is being driven by sentiment, however sentiment can change quickly thus leading to SP volatility. Both up and down
@aandi - i know you have a lot more linkage than most between your SP prediction and revenues. But there are still some quite big "ifs", with the forecast 20x 2020 revenues for 2021.
@pickuz - agree, can't count on contracts until delivered. And i have trouble in translating words used by DP like "pipeline" and "tendered" into likely revenues and timescales. Perhaps, if 2021 does start to bring home some of these hoped for contracts, we will be able to predict with more confidence.
I do recall @aandi attaching some broad figures to potential deals of various sizes. And using some of these myself, came up with an SP of just over 10p. But i would have less confidence in when that might be achieved.
Finally, i imagine my holding is small compared to many. My average is about 0.64p. And i am hoping for 5p before top-slicing. And i have been "invested" for about 6 months.