RE: RE: Had a chat with Israel3 Jul 2017 13:38
Upon reflection,I`m also holding with you boys.Essentially, the reasons for my investment havn`t changed ie Cascade are in at a significant premium and I don`t think they are in the business of throwing $2m (poss more) down the swanee.They have said that they are particularly excited by the Mobileye relationship and exposure to their clients so,imo,this is where they see a return on that £14m valuation.Be it a sale to Mobileye or otherwise.
This business doesn`t stand up on a fundamentals basis,high cash burn,static sales growth (to date),high operating cost base,inherent losses and a tendency towards constant R&D additional expenditure , permanently refining a product which is already said to be industry leading and has multi-user clients.There is an inflection point at which this must change and the focus has to be on reducing costs and going hell for leather on a sales drive.IMO that time is now,sell the product in its existing guise and follow later with the software upgrades etc......get the product sold and the revenues flowing.
Now,having said the above,Cascade were fully aware of this and have still stumped up $2m.We can`t have waded through an additional $2m in 3 or 4 months and I am not convinced that it costs this much to put together a few tender documents.So where has this cash gone ? The answer,I hope,is that it is needed to fulfill an order/s and that there is something currently in the offing.
So,in summary,I`m still in until I get a bit more clarity.I draw a bit of comfort in the knowledge that GT has unsecured loans to Sev of $300,000 on the balance sheet and G.Sasoon $1.2m.They will want their dosh back and a bit more...........big motivation.
All imho etc
Cheers