RE: The deal maker strikes again22 Nov 2021 11:59
So, Zenith have finally abandoned trying to get the license transfer approved by the glacially-slow Tunisian bureaucratic system and have instead gone once again (as they did with Candax) for the quick and simple method of simply buying the subsidiary company which own the share of the license. This has resulted in the transaction going through just as easily as the Candax ones have an I would assume that the company will shortly try and do exactly the same thing with the KUFPEC 22.5%.
Obviously, changing the structure of the deal has meant that it has been somewhat renegotiated so that it is not quite as favourable to Zenith as it was back in 2020. For this reason it is a shame that Zenith did not go the “buying the ltd company” route right back in September 2020 as we would have acquired the asset for only $300,000 instead of $1,658,680 and we also would have ended up with about 67,000 barrels of oil as opposed to the 30,000 that we have done. However, it is also entirely understandable that CNPC insisted on renegotiating the deal when it changed as the increase in oil price since September 2020 is simply too big to ignore. I think that what we can assume now is that Tunisian lessons have been learned at Zenith and all Tunisian deals will be completed in this fashin from now on.
I think that the relatively muted market reaction to this news represents the fact that we were expecting the asset to have been acquired for less money and also delivering us about $5 million of stored oil. It is obviously slightly disappointing that this has not happened but on the plus side, Zenith have got the deal over the line and it is still an extremely impressive one to have completed. The 30,000 barrels of oil that have come with the deal are worth approx. $2.4 million at todays prices and the cash purchase element of the deal is only $1.7 million so we are effectively being paid $700,000 to take control of the license and plus we have 120 barrels of oil being produced every day from now on. At an opex cost of $25 per barrel then this should work out at a gross revenue of $3.4 million per year and a net of approx. $ 2,365,200.
One other point that we should not forget about our Tunisian oil production is the fact that we can only sell it a few times a year. I had often wondered why this was but it was made clear by AC in the investor call that we (and most of the other Tunisian oil producers) put our oil together to create an oil blend from the ECUMED fields and then ship it out to European refineries by tanker. So basically, we have to wait until there is enough oil to fill a tanker (approx. 2 million barrels) before it can be sold.