RE: Company projection and investment model15 Oct 2020 22:05
TLM: interesting questions, I don’t have any comparisons per se. Any purported new tech, we need to examine existing competition, why/how the new tech is superior, and what would make buyers of the tech MIGRATE from existing tech to the new one?
So taking condition monitoring systems: I looked at current CMS, I’ve posted extensively on this before. To summarise: current tech is mostly variants of vibration monitoring. This includes all power turbines, manufacturing etc. The leader in turbine monitoring is Gram Juhls which is I think in the 50-100m turnover category.
The wind turbine fleets in the UK are relatively young. In many older farms, productivity is barely 50%. Subsidies will disappear if they haven’t already. Once existing turbines start getting older, costs of maintenance, running most productively will come into the picture. And with good CMS which is pro-active (rather than reactive), huge savings can be demonstrated (there are studies modelling savings say over 5-10 years). So it’s a case of demonstrating that Gyrometric tech works better and more importantly works DIFFERENTLY. Take that into each application: tug boats, cruise liners, automobiles, manufacturing lines, nuclear, oil rigs/pumps, distributed energy.....you get the picture. In distributed energy for ex: look at existing CMS: Clarke energy for ex is about emails sent to the engg team about parameters. Our tech is live, can be monitored remotely, wirelessly; more importantly the tech can INTERVENE by cutting power, changing gears within microseconds etc. Comparing a disruptive new comer with existing tech is a bit like comparing an iPhone with a Nokia ten years ago. All my opinions only. DYOR