Future of AIM4 Aug 2025 09:43
This is an interesting piece by Peel Hunt on the effects of the removal of tax relief on AIM companies. Hopefully, MoS will be mindful of this and find a solution as part of the deal……
We see material downside risk for AIM from removing IHT relief. Moreover, our forecasts show a net tax reduction to the Exchequer of £2.6bn, rising to £3.2bn. This is in marked contrast to the £1.1bn increase in tax suggested by the IFS. We do not recognise this number.
CGT rate rises would diminish risk appetite and tax take, with HMRC estimating a tax reduction of >£2bn from raising CGT rates 10%. The best way to increase CGT remittances is to revive the equity market: the OBR estimates each 1% market increase brings in £0.5bn.
Existential – in our view, the future of AIM as a functioning market is at stake. We trust that the Government and Treasury recognise the opportunity to accelerate growth and investment, rather than fatally undermine the market.