RE: Undervalued?, or not!30 Aug 2014 00:24
testpack,
Good post there.
I've been looking at Catlin lately and it looks v cheap IMO but it's not usually the share I go for so I'm holding off for now.
In response to your points (well spotted by the way):
1) agree
2) CAT losses, by their v nature, should be v infrequent and are of course unpredictable. However, the very fact Catlin have thought through CAT events to what appears to be quite a high degree implies there's decent reinsurance in place here in the event a catastrophic event does occur.
Having said that I wouldn't consider it a good thing for Catlin to be increasing their exposure to in the pursuit of income so would consider this a negative still (even taking into account the fact decent reinsurance is probably in place).
However, even when taking the above into account, Catlin still looks cheap against the market, against its peers, etc.
Just some thoughts of mine.
All the best,
Dan