RE: Voting9 Jul 2020 10:58
My read is the following:
1. Yes there is oil in the SWP, however with the low POO there is not enough cash coming in right now.
2. This will lead to paying contractors in share - suppressing any potential SP growth.
3. The time it will take to drill S2, and have a set up for commercial production in the SWP, will be too long for most. It will take us to H2 21 at the very least, further suppressing share growth and momentum.
4. The "big" including LK, have no more patience. Too little progress has been made in far too long a time. The SP reflects that.
5. In comes BPC: by end Q1/21 we will have drilling results in one of the top 5 global exploration areas.
It's as simple as that. CERP does not have the arguments right now to command a better deal. We would have been had SWP gone quicker, but it didn't. The deal we got is a reflection of that, scooped under the carpet by the promising of a SP that will sky rocket closer to the start of P-drill.
All IMHO