RE: Payment14 Feb 2024 10:53
Thunder2040
Your question seems genuine and stands out from the ramblings and heavy distortions of (minor or major) news updates on this board so I'm replying to you and ignoring all other comments posted since then.
First, if you read the article in question thoroughly to the end, you'll see that the KRG was also deemed complicit in the matter so it's not clear if it's due to receive any money - the only explicit "victim" is the Iraqi central government (the KRG largely operates autonomously, or at least is treated as such in the report of the decision).
Second, there have been several "the KRG / Iraq are on their way to come to an agreement with the oil producers operating in the KRG" statements since last autumn, leading to several false starts in the SP as you can see on any candlestick chart. While I have no doubt that an agreement will be reached, how "soon" is anyone's guess.
Third, it's nigh on impossible to assess the extent of a short-selling interest on a given share. Shorttracker.co.uk is the most commonly used source but all positions below 0.5% are not reported, so there could be lots of small positions from a multitude of funds from the same given II at 0.49% and nobody would know. Or there could be no other positions than what's shown. Thus, unless we are talking about top 5-10 most shorted shares based on shorttracker.co.uk, it's not worth making any guesses as you are most likely going to be wrong about it. Anyone making such claims is almost certainly somebody living on hope (or trying to influence others who live on hope).
FYI, as you can see, there are only few short positions above 0.5% for GKP - https://shorttracker.co.uk/company/BMG4209G2077/
Conclusion:
Most people on this board are clueless but act as if they know the inside story.
Only the clearest /unambiguous news (or a pattern of such news) TOGETHER WITH clear business data / fundamentals TOGETHER WITH the most obvious signals in terms of technical analysis (i.e. charts - but I do mean the most obvious signals. Most charts shared (or quoted without even any accompanying image) are absolute rubbish.)
It's all about finding a system that works for you within those broad criteria, and not let yourself be influenced away from it by people various claims and shiny trinkets - which is very very hard!
Good luck and stray strong.