RE: Mark Miniverni18 Oct 2022 01:28
My view on what specifically?
Have Asos and/or most markets reached a bottom? I don't know and will never profess to know, at least not until we have gone back into a clear uptrend so much much later after a reversal has happened. Trying to predict / claim bottoms is a mug's game IMO.
My view about Mark M's tweet? He was half contradicting himself and more or less concluded that we should not try to guess when bottoms are forming.
Right now, Asos is still in a clear downtrend. Yesterday's hammer may or may not mark a bounce before a reversal, but there is not enough evidence to assume that. On the other hand, the Jeremy Hunt's speeches of yesterdayj(morning then at the House of C) confirmed officially that consumers will have less disposable income. So "markets" may have been calmed down, but non-essential consumer products businesses still have plenty of pain ahead, for a length of time unknown so far.
Add to that Asos openly admitting it is facing headwinds by wanting to increase its credit facility (after being almost forced to do so by the press) and postponing its results by one week (they were due last Wednesday, then without any formal announcement (nor explanation) they are pushed back to tomorrow 19th!): on balance things don't look good in the short term.
I can't make claims medium-long term.