RE: 18 months from now30 Dec 2025 19:08
Welcome Fortuna - a lot of trolls/mischief makers use new accounts, so you can forgive some for being a bit cautious. Anyway, my own initial summary response would be as follows:
We know from multiple MR presentations over the years that demand for the type of Graphite at OC is going to significantly increase and current supply levels means there will be an increasing deficit of supply. Research also suggests that much of this increase is going to be driven by North America. This is a perfect backdrop against which to market the project.
I think when it comes to NPV, the DFS represents only a starting point and a starting model. BRES has to start somewhere! The actual NPV will of course depend on what scale of project is eventually taken forward into production, and the speed of any ramp up. This will depend on which parties take it forward and what their supply needs will be - against the backdrop set out above. Will Orom Cross become THE main supplier for the US and/or UK and/or Europe? Will some giant offtakers come forward and enter the story, requiring a different production model? We know that TESLA are looking at alternative graphite suppliers and have been willing to source from countries like Mozambique and Tanzania. Or, will the project be sold or JV'd into production?
Therefore, too many variables and permutations at this stage to be sure of who's going to take the project forward. What is beyond question is that BRES has a globally significant district scale critical minerals project, with a $1.1 billion NPV representing a tiny fraction of the project and what it is capable of producing. Currently sitting at a ridiculous £30 million mcap.
So whatever the NPV, there ought to be MASSIVE upside coming down the track here in terms of the share price!