Best of a bad lot30 Jun 2017 12:39
Sadly like many I am a suffering LTH here who has watched the SP decline over the past few years, whilst continuing to dream that Rita's oft repeated refrain of shareholder value will one day come true... Well the market certainly hasn't spotted the model so far, and now it seems that some of the directors have stopped believing too.
So we have a very damaging split, with SOS looking to get reward for his investment, with some agresssive cost cutting and remodelling thanks to NTOG.
So they plan to remove Rita. Fair enough a large salary, coupled with a small holding in the company does not give an indication of someone who is confident in the future of her operation. Her role in this has rightly attracted scrutiny, especially thanks to the precarious position we are now in with our banking covenants.
So where should my votes go?
With Rita for more of the same, and a hope that one day someone biggie will pick us up for a fair market value?
Or with NTOG who are going to drive down the salaries and remove unproductive assets. Tempting.
What will NTOG benefit by doing this?
A lot. We have some great assets and great data on them, thats where the value in the company is. NTOG after picking up control for a very meagre sum would have access to some great drilling locations. That is surely worht a speculative punt.
Admittedly I cannot access the NTOG 2016 financials as they are still overdue, but the last few years finances are not pretty. One thing they do have which MAGP does not is a very big line of credit with their bank. Their 2015 reports showed a net worth of -1.1 million. No shareholder value there. This has been on a downward trend since 2011 when it was at its peak of just over 2 million. Their equally well paid execs are hardly in a position to talk about sdhareholder value. Do they really expect people to believe that after not receiving a salary for the first year they would not extract reward for their efforts via some other route? As posted on this board they have history in this regard.
MAGP on the other still have assets that would produce a shareholder value even after paying off the bank loan.
I took a loss on my NTOG shares in 2012 and put the money in MAGP thinking the business model was more sound. I still believe that to be the case as long as MAGP can receive enough money from their existing drills to fund future plans. I haven't seen proof of this and therefore have doubts. However, on balance, I can only view NTOGS apporach as highly speculative and utimately a way to obtain a quick return that would benefit the execs first and shareholders second.
In Rita I have to trust.