RE: Gold surge20 Jun 2019 10:48
As the Australian dollar continues to fall and with further declines expected, gold is attracting the attention of investors as it climbs to all-time highs and is predicted to continue soaring well beyond A$2,000 per ounce.
This morning, gold pushed past A$1,998/oz – only a whisker away from the A$2,000/oz resistance level.
However, analysts envisage the precious metal’s upward journey will continue to move above A$2,000/oz (US$1,370/oz), with Martin Place Securities executive chairman Barry Dawes telling Small Caps he believes the gold price could reach A$10,000/oz in the next decade.
Gold chart breakout USD June 2019
The gold chart in US dollars appears to breaking out of an ascending triangle pattern, often seen as a bullish move.
Since December last year the gold price has shot up more than 18% from A$1,657/oz to its current high.
Spurring the metal’s rise are increased buying from Asia and central banks, weakening global economic fundamentals and political uncertainty both within Australia and globally.
Speaking with Small Caps, Mr Dawes said the current rise indicated the next leg of the “great bull market” is about to unfold for the commodity.
Mr Dawes pointed to gold’s previous great bull market when it started from a low of around US$250/oz in 1999 and continued rising to reach a high of US$1,923 in 2011, before falling off.
Unlike now, the Australian dollar gold price was different in 2011 because the Australian dollar was above parity, so the Australian dollar gold price was below that of the US dollar gold price.
“This time, the Australian dollar has been weaker,” Mr Dawes said.
He added he anticipated the gold price will hit the A$2,000/oz resistance level possibly next week, but definitely at some stage during the September quarter.
“Gold is seasonally weak in May-July and tends to start to move higher in August. Gold is unseasonably strong now so it could do anything from here.”
These are analysts words, not mine, but it’s been my feeling for a long time in this seriously unsettled world, gold is always the default hedge bet, if we get a bull run that starts to hit the media, the run will get even more legs, and it’s the adrenaline shot MTL will be really happy to see, the effect cannot be underestimated, remember, the recent $100 increase in the POG per ounce is a 7% rise in its value, but after running costs of a mine are taken out, the effect more than doubles the profit margin, more like a 15% increase in profits, our ability to pay back debts gets much much easier.