RE: NPV10 assumptions21 Aug 2025 12:29
The key is that post-FID, as risk perception drops, the market could start valuing Rockhopper closer to 100% of NAV or more. Small-cap E&Ps often trade at a premium to core NAV once a project is sanctioned and especially when production is in sight. For instance, 1.2x NAV is a not-uncommon valuation for a de-risked project - which in Rockhopper's case would imply ~£3.36/share. More bullishly, 1.5x NAV would be ~£4.20.
These figures align with the idea that Rockhopper's stock could multiply several-fold if Sea Lion reaches critical
milestones. Even longer term, once oil is flowing, cash flows could support valuations in the £3.5-£5+ per share range according to some analyses, especially if additional reserves (like the Isobel field) are proven up )