Roundtable Discussion; The Future of Mineral Sands. Watch the video here.
Baron is a shrewd mid-term investor in conviction stocks. Doesn't always call it correctly, no one does even the pro's get it wrong. RCH sub 50p two years ago, hit £4 recently. PFD sub 20p hit £1 during 1st covid lockdown. GKP and SQZ are also done massive amounts of returns for him. PF in excess of £10m+ I'd guess at, and gets calls from fund managers asking him what he's buying / or thinking of which sector to buy into? How Ironic that he tweeted about buying a further 4m shares in Arcm and got a like by China Blue. Guess China is invested in Arcm? No wonder the sp is UP! Baron, can't see him buying into XTR, 2m tonnes of uneconomical grades of copper is worth nothing to a midcap, let alone a Major. $88.5m deal for Arcm is better than any offer XTR receives for their licences. Seen many Juniors drill out resources and get no deals from anyone, it's all about the grades and economics of the project. Uneconomical = uneconomical in the current commodity price of copper. If I had 2m shares in XTR last month 6p?, I'd have sold and bought 3m shares in Arcm at 4p. Well let's see who hits the higher price in 5-6 months time??? Docile folks is what China used to refer to Arcm shareholders, maybe he should place that dogtag around the XTR shareholders? And weigh it down with heavy wet concrete!! More HNWI will be buying up any loose stock, churn, churn and MM's are short of stock in the mornings!
After watching the end of the Premier league season, and that was some comeback by City. Not forgetting my team (Leeds) staving off relegation. Can say, we're all going in the same direction, UP. Danielle, you and me have unfinished business to settle. Back to hibernation, let the drill do the talking from now on until Nov - Dec. ATB everyone.
I've decided to not post here for the foreseeable future. My reasons are other issues in my life which takes precedent above trying to debate with like minded investors. I do have a big workload pressure to deal with. But will enjoy eating expensive South African Springbok steaks, washed down with expensive South African red wine. Sexually satisfisfying many Victoria Secrets Lingerie Models is a bonus in my life and a headache. Assassinating dictators who hold Major mining companies to socialist policies. Removing a gyriactric as president of the US, and reinstating the 'Orange Tan Man' in 2024. Destroying the crypto market, already crushed Luna Coin $110 to sub $0.014. And finally being the only Pallbearer at Ella10's funeral which hopefully will be very soon!! Good luck to everyone who is invested here, and I'll be looking in now and then, but won't be making posts for now. Yours Kully.
Should have mentioned the licenses in more details. 1. Cheyeza is practically on the doorstep of the Sentinel Mine (40km)away. Cheyeza East 80km2, has hit decent oxides from surface to 160m of 1%+, which is double the amount at Sentinel Mine. Remy said in the Indaba Conference 2020, that Cheyeza is 5-10m tonnes rescource if drilled out properly. 2 Muswema and Lumbeta are twin deposits, like a pair of lungs. Not drilled out yet! But whatever is on one deposit should reflect in the other. Why, because the fluids have flown into both areas creating similar geology areas. 3 Fwiji is not going to be drilled yet 40km2 and has hit 1m @7% copper in one hole. Could be much more if property drilled out? 4 we have other smaller areas to still drill down the line. These 4 deposits are the most important in terms of finding Tier1 deposits. We'll find out more when the drill results come back. The junior space on AIM will be dominated by Arcm over the next 6 months, if we start hitting decent grades? I'm expecting some delayed after hours trades to show up over the next few weeks. My twitter time line has seen some really positive comments from people with £3-5m+ pf's. They'll be buying 5-10m block trades in Arcm, they are big hitters on AIM. Didn't I predict that the deal would be announced during the Indaba Conference? Pretty sure I said it would, and it did. Stonks Massive to a great upcoming drilling campaign by AAL.
If you been a LTH in Arcm you know what I'm talking about. 1 Kalaba plant was supposed to show the small scale demonstration plant worked, and produced revenue. Unfortunately a former director Mumena Mushinge and Brian Chisala, threatened the plant manager and sold the 1m+ tonnes of ore and committed fraud in the process by claiming to be the CEO of Arcm. 2 After lengthy court case. and spurious claims of being owed money from Arcm? The company decided to settle for out of court settlement of 8km2 area around the Kalaba plant to MM, in order to move on. It stopped a commercial transaction with a major for 12 months. 3 The company had legacy assets of two gold deposit (Sturec and Casa). Sturec has been sold and is being developed with some add ons for Arcm with minimal payments. Casa has been sold for the 3rd time, a very difficult sell when located in the DRC. The $3.3m liabilities will be sold to the buyer Regency Mining as part of the deal. We get 3m shares in Tingo as security from Golden Square as part of the deal. Tingo shares worth $2.4 =$7. 2m. Now that the company is free from legacy issues it can move on to Botswana. The Zambian licenses are now in the deal with AAL. And previous drilling has hit mineralisation in most drilling. We've been in discussions with AAL for nearly 2 years and DD was carried out by them in the Exclusivity Agreement period, and was satisfactory in licenses /titles /boundaries etc etc. So with $2m cash and another $3.5m on completion of the deal to come. So now we await the drill bit to tell us what we have in terms of copper grades on the licenses. AAL top geologist David Wood will be directing the drill campaign, he found the Kiwari project which is now the Sentinel Mine 40km away. A 5m tonne open pit copper mine, which even he says from his copper scandium ratio model is missing around 25m tonnes of copper? Arcm and we shareholders unanimously 100-0 believe some of the missing copper is on our licenses in Zambia. David Wood probably believes the same theory too, but he's playing it cool. David is the most expert guy on the planet when referring to the Domes area of Zambia, where other mines have been built. One other important aspect of the deal was the Zambia President HH, who was elected last year. He's so much better than his predecessor who stifled Majors from investing in Zambia. It's the big reason why AAL are back in Zambia, and have done a deal with Arcm for their old licences. Yes they were the owners of the very same licenses before trouble in the 90's, forced them to leave the country. If you are new to the bb, you have just been updated to the present. The future will be all eyes on the drill bit. Hit decent grades and AAL will up the speed and spend on the drilling. Increasing the value of the licenses and Arcm's value as a mcap. ATB everyone.
I see that the two biggest Trolls of Arcm, Ella10 and China Blue are gushing with embarrassing words of humility. Don't know China, he's more Fulmar's nemesis and they should have settled it with 'Pistols at Dawn' a long time ago. But nevertheless, how befitting that the Troll who goaded me and other LTH'S is now apologetic, bordering on cringe worthy. Ella10 or real name Daniella, I've no sympathy or love or remorse/ respect or anything remotely human kindness to say to you. Wrong how many times? 1 We have no grades, Cheyeza 1%+ better than XTR's. 2 placing incoming, not for a long time 'my little friend'. 3 Casa sale not happening, okay maybe I'll give you 1/2 points there, which is more than any European country gives the UK in the rubbish that is the Eurovision Song Contest. Still don't believe a deal it until its done and dusted. 4 No Major will do a deal without serious amounts of drilling on the licenses. 5 Share price will be 1.6p on St Valentines Day in 2022,its expiry date has elapsed by 11 weeks. 6 Licences are not rearranged and lost, we hold much less than previous. Hold on 800km2-8km2=792km2 a massive loss of 1% to MM in settlement for out of court cases. 7 Casa liabilities are never going to be removed from the accounts. If sold, the buyer will assume the liabilities as per the deal to buy. 8 Never making a positive remark once on any rns, always negative and saying that your invested. 9 Made up fabricated story that you contacted the Nomad and Broker, when asked to submit here evidence, still waiting. 10 You are an all round Ti t who revels in your 'Wonderful Research' which is akin to as much use as a catflap in a submarine. Apologies if Ive missed any other remarkable qualities you possess. Anyway forgive I will not, forget I will not. ATB everyone including Ella10.
J99, if you compare Midnight Sun deal with Rio Tinto JV earn in. RIO invest $51m over a number of years for 75% of the licenses. Midnight Sun receive about $2-3m in payments. We got a fantastic deal in comparison. Nick pulled off a masterstroke and in the Investors Call, Remy said no junior on ASX, TSV got a deal anywhere close without a Jorc in place. AAL give up their Bush ranger licence in Aus, sold to XTR, because they were looking for Tier1 assets which is what we've been talking about here for quite a while. ATB everyone.
If you are contracted to spend $24m over the first 3 years. That's $8m per year @$75 per metre that's 100,000m per year = 200 holes at 500m depths. So effectively 600 holes of upto 500m over the next 3 years. 22 drill rigs needed for that amount of drilling over the dry season of June - Dec. However if grades are good, they may increase the drilling to maximise their efforts on the licenses in a shorter time frame. I'm expecting a buyout of the remaining % at favourable terms in the future.
With the dry season starting in end of May /start of June in Zambia. You still need a few weeks for the ground to firm up, you can't drill in wet ground. So drilling will commence as soon as possible, the legit paperwork has been on the table for a while. Payment in 90 days is just official, drilling will be done as soon as possible as there's only 6-7 months to drill in Zambia.
Ricardo, Sentinel Mine is 40km away and was a licence that after $20m+ of drilling. Sold for $260m. It had 1bn tonnes of ore grading at 0.5% copper. That's 5m tonnes of copper on the license. Copper was a lot less than today's price. But the license was sold cheaply, considering it was a Tier1 deposit. We have better grades at Cheyeza which is adjacent to Sentinel Mine, ave 1%+ copper grades and we have 80km 2 of Cheyeza and 792km2 of licences to explore for Copper. We've 4 decent targets for immediate exploration and a further smaller deposits.
If you have followed some of my posts, you'd understand that a 500m drill hole costs about $37,500 to drill /or $75 per metre. So Kamo Kakula copper mine in the DRC had just over 2200 drill holes before production last year started. So spending around $70m+ over the years is about on par for finding the missing 25m tonnes of copper that the Sentinel Mine didn't find. It's more than likely that some of the missing copper is parked on Arcm's licenses? Just how much is dependent on the drill? As for Tier1 deposits, they sell for $500m+, also depending on grades and tonnage, price of commodity, and depth etc etc etc. Where's Ella10 and her 'wonderful research', missing in action from here and XTR bb? Asking for a friend ( actually no one cares).
When I woke up this morning, slightly earlier than usual, day off work as well. I had a message from a certain someone last night. The message was expect to see something early in the morning? My guess was, he'd either won the Euromillions lottery (£184m)/ or Arcm has done the deal? Seeing as the lottery winner had decided to stay anonymous, I deduced Arcm rns? I wanted to Bait China before the 07.00 rns, and the tool duly obliged. Won't be hearing from him anymore. Me bow down to CB and Ella10, nah got cramp in the old legs, this war that war etc etc. No deal for XTR on the horizon, not with those grades yesterday. Should have sold your XTR shares as I recommended and bought Arcm instead? ATB everyone apart from the Troll.
Guess that they won't be doing a deal for the licenses after all. I must then bow down to my knees and admit that China Blue and Ella10 were correct in their assumptions of Arcm and the bod. Humble pie, yuk that taste is awful but have to eat it up. Well I guess I won't be posting anything on here, as no integrity, its been shattered and blown away. Why oh why did I listen to the more informed people on here? Should have lapped up Ella10's 'Wonderful research', jeez so heartbreaking and soul destroying to be proven wrong. Can't believe we haven't had a deal by now, it's been about 12 weeks and nothing, nada, zilch, zero. There's so much shame in me, for giving her so much unwarranted abuse, but I won't apologise. She started these mind games, damn how could I get it so wrong. AIM is a gamble for sure, and every now and then it will test you. Do you feel lucky Punk?
I'm of the opinion that if a deal with AAL is done (JV/Earn in%)? Then they'll organise the drill campaign for the upcoming season. 3 weeks to drill a 500m hole. So at least from the recent aero mag survey, they'll have a number of targets identified. 9 holes per drill rig, 10 drill rigs is 90 drill holes over the 3 targets minimum. Unless they decide to use more than 10 drill rigs, and depending on outcome of results from the drilling. First results will be out around early Sept if they are doing the assays In house. Two drill campaigns will be enough for AAL to make an offer to buyout the licenses, if there are decent grades. Obviously it depends on the actual deal, and how much money is committed to the drill campaign? These details will only be available once any deal is done? We won't need to even have a employee in Zambia, just casually move onto Botswana. But first we need a 'Deal'?
The owners of the Khoemacau copper mine are looking to sell the underground mine for Est $1.5bn. 60k tonnes of copper and 1.8m - 2m of Silver per year. Est costs of $397m to construct the mine? Project funding was about $650m to develop the mine and upgrade production to 100k tonnes per year. Not exactly cheap, to build a mine with 2% copper grades and 19.5% silver. The mine could attract a few potential buyers, (Midcap +)? Those are good grades of copper and nearby licenses in the area, via Juniors hunting for economical grades to sell on to Khoemacau? Too many people believe inferior grades are great /but if your selling the licenses? You would say that for a possible transaction? AISC of $1.80lb copper is definitely low cost compared to other producing mines. $1.5bn Est price and yet XTR investors reckon they will get $7-800m just for the licenses? Watched a YouTube video of XTR presentation by CB. 'A world class porophy' is how he described the licenses after drilling out 0.30-40% cueq in recent campaigns. If a full working 100k+ tonnes producing mine is worth $1.5bn,how can a much lower inferior grade deposit be worth more than $100m max? Asking for a friend ( David Wood)?
Don't forget Cheyeza, ave 1%+ on drilling near surface oxides, that's 2.5 times more than XTR grades. And we'll find out if there's more once we get a deal over the line,and the major kicks off multiple drill rigs on site. No mining to 900-1000m for uneconomical grades here darling!! I recommend that AIM kick all of Colin (the turd) Bird companies off the exchange. Perhaps those companies would be better suited on Gumtree website!!
With regards to your reference on tailings I concur my dear Seis. Why would you dig up to 900-1000m into the earth for 0.40% cueq grades is beyond me? There's enough big mines that have left behind tailings, as the size of the mine and opex is such that inferior grades are uneconomical to process. So after decommissioning the mine, the tailings are sitting at surface. Easy to build a smaller mine, with low capex and process the tailings. If 400m tonnes at 0.5% copper =2m tonnes of contained copper, easy 60k tonnes per year. 30 years LOM, and the mine makes money for shareholders. XTR have to dig it out of the ground, then process it, a expensive way of getting the job done. Simply no one would lend a company the money to build a mine. No one would pay excess money to buy the deposit? Because the grades are uneconomical against the capex and licence buyout! Don't forget the offtake agreements, which are not at spot prices, but much lower. Glencore needs to make their 10-15% on the mineral. If copper is $13k per tonne, Glencore would pay $11.5k per tonne. So XTR needs $14.5k per tonne to be profitable at 100k tonnes production per year. $14.5 - 1.5k =$13k - $11k production costs. 100k @$2k per tonne =$200m ebitda. Then there's vat and tax to pay for, and IRR on the capex which would be 7-11% max. Copper would need to be $7lb not the current $4.4lb just to make the mine profitable. Hence why Majors look for deposits to develop with $3-3.5k per tonne cost. The Troll is full of' Wonderful Research ', if you understand that statement your a better person than me!
If you've watched the video of David Wood on the Domes region and Sentinel Mine? You'll know what he's referring to when questioned about the Copper /Scanduim ratio to evaluate how much copper there could be on any given license? 25m tonnes of missing copper, and he just pauses when he refers to the comment of missing copper. Guess he knows, and we regulars know that it ain't on XTR's licenses in Northern Territory Australia. But closer to Zambia, North West on Arcm's licenses, actually its 'Exactly on Arcm's licenses'. You can't compare Quality and Quantity with uneconomical grades as XTR have. No Major /Midcap would be interested in such low grades 0.40% max is embarrassing to them. Boardroom talk of buying such low grades deposits would suffer shareholders backlash. And reshuffle or kicked out of the job of CEO, etc etc. 1%+ grades is enough to wet the appetite of any Major /Midcap to negotiate a offer /deal! Once all the best deposits have been bought in the next 3-7 years. You will see less economical grade deposits being bought if copper is above $12000 per tonne. For now, all the Majors are looking to buy ahead of the inevitable super cycle. Buy, Drill, Jorc, DFS+Permits… Build a mine 4-7 years time frame at the minimum.
This famous line from a song is exactly what the deal will be. Whatever will be, will be. But it won't be 1.6p as a certain Nefarious Narcissistic Doppelganger claimed by St. Valentines day!! LMFAO if any Bird (the Turd) companies make shareholders money long term. XTR the pie in the sky uneconomical grades, that will sell for close to a $Bn. Guess we'll take any low offer from any Major (Sarcastically) like Yeah. Best grades in the Copper Belt of Zambia and surrounding areas, with minimal drilling. David Wood must be chomping at the bit, to drill Cheyeza, etc etc. If we hit anything close to Kamoa Kakula Copper Mine in DRC? Then I'll buy every shareholder a pint of Coors! Apart from the Troll.
Mis interperated $1.25m in cash, for the same amount in equity of a company listed in Canada. So shares to the value of $1.25m not cash. So Regency Mining (presume) to be the company in question. So much to remember in that rns. Especially '20km of strike length', doesn't say wether over how many targets. I presume its not over one target, as even Cheyeza isn't that big 80km2 =10 by 8. They got everything sorted for eventual drilling, and a 'deal' of some sort. Fingers crossed for both deals.