RE: trapped13 Jul 2022 16:44
OK, well perhaps I need to take my rose-tinted specs out of their box (I'd put them away thinking I wouldn't need them for a while). I think you can add to the good news side that banks have passed extreme stress tests now and are far better capitalised than during the crisis of 2008. However, as you rightly point out, no two recessions are ever the same, so we simply don't know what we're going to be faced with, or when. The banks may be well capitalised but the government certainly isn't. They can't just raise income tax and say "there you go, sorted" because people will retire early or move overseas (as thousands of front-line NHS staff already have since Brexit). Inflation may be running at around 10% now but no-one saw that coming, and who's to say it won't double again to 20% before it can be controlled? Already the energy price cap for January is looking like being significantly higher, unions want double-digit pay awards, there's no obvious resolution of the devastating conflict in Ukraine etc. etc. Are you saying none of that will affect house prices? How so?? Anyway, off to find those specs, I'll try to keep them on for the time being. K