Thoughts .....22 Feb 2019 05:37
Firstly, on the FPSO situation ... Expected first lift this year in the next week, according to the latest news, with oil price now rising it should be of considerable value to the Aje JV.
Secondly, mentioned on the Panoro thread on Norwegian forum, possible upgrading of the FPSO Front Puffin with a replacement vessel on termination of the contract on 8th July. There is currently an unused FPSO Berge Helene (BWO) that is considerably larger than FP (61,053 tonnes gross tonnage) as opposed to BH (133,871 tonnes gt), currently moored in Singapore awaiting orders. Although an older vessel than FP, the larger capacity would easily cope with future requirements at Aje 113 and could be adapted to process the upgraded LPG produced and linked to the offshore gas pipeline.
Thirdly, the recent presentation by Superdialectrics Ltd clearly stated that they are working towards an IPO on AIM in the fast-moving Super Capacitor market. R&D would compel them to raise capital to secure their place in the Ultra Capacitor market through this medium to become a public company, albeit we have a minority shareholding as the only oil company amongst their current shareholders. As an AIM company the SD mcap would be elevated to between £50m to £100m on current associations with Rolls Royce Aero, Seimens & Airbus in development of electric aircraft and other aligned concepts, This would make MXO's holding worth considerably more than was invested in the start-up. At the upper end of the mcap the II's would be piling in for a gilt-edged investment and propel the SP into the stratosphere.
Fourthly, the huge 33.33% spread that exists on the MXO share price deters investment at current levels, unless you know 100% that there is something in the pipeline, why take the risk?